Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: match statistics
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heidenheim played Hoffenheim in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Heidenheim: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hoffenheim: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heidenheim scores 0.92 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Hoffenheim scores 2.04 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heidenheim 58%, Hoffenheim 63%. Over 2.5: Heidenheim 67%, Hoffenheim 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.26. Heidenheim: 11.8 shots per match, Hoffenheim: 13.8.
Match halves
Heidenheim: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.58. Hoffenheim: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Heidenheim: 76-90+ (6 goals). Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 3rd place with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Heidenheim ranks 18th with just 3 victories. The hosts are in catastrophic form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2.25 goals per home game, without keeping a single clean sheet at home. Hoffenheim boasts a 50% away win rate with a solid average of 1.83 goals per game and significantly better shot conversion (16% vs 9%). The difference in possession (52% vs 40%) and expected goals (xG For: 1.39 vs 1.3) further confirms the visitors' advantage. Taking all statistics into account, a Hoffenheim victory is the most probable scenario, although the weak defenses of both teams could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heidenheim | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Heidenheim · 1.4 pts / match - Hoffenheim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Heidenheim · 2.04 goals / match - Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.29 goals / match - Hoffenheim
Heidenheim scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Hoffenheim scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heidenheim
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 95% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Heidenheim · 1.54 pts / match - Hoffenheim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Heidenheim | Liga | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.13 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 83% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heidenheim 0 - 0 - 1 Hoffenheim. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The Bundesliga match finished Heidenheim 2:4 Hoffenheim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
Heidenheim score 0.92 goals per game on average and Hoffenheim 2.04. The Bundesliga average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Heidenheim's matches and 63% of Hoffenheim's.
What form are Heidenheim and Hoffenheim in?
Over the last 5 games Heidenheim have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hoffenheim 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim?
The statistical background for Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.