Heidenheim vs Stuttgart: match statistics
Stuttgart is the clear favorite in this match. Heidenheim is in last 18th place in the table with disastrous form – zero wins in their last 5 matches and only an 18% win rate at home. The hosts have the worst goal difference (-14) in home matches, scoring an average of only 0.91 goals while conceding 2.18 goals per game. Stuttgart, on the other hand, is in 4th place, showing excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. The visitors win 45% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2.18 goals, and they have not had a single goalless match away this season. Stuttgart's advantage in possession (59% vs 41%), shot accuracy (15% vs 7%), and expected goals (1.83 vs 1.31) further confirms their dominance. Taking all statistics into account, Stuttgart should confidently win this match.
Heidenheim vs Stuttgart: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heidenheim played Stuttgart in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Heidenheim: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Stuttgart: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heidenheim scores 0.86 and concedes 2.18 goals per match. Stuttgart scores 1.86 and concedes 1.32. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heidenheim 59%, Stuttgart 59%. Over 2.5: Heidenheim 68%, Stuttgart 73%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.28. Heidenheim: 12.0 shots per match, Stuttgart: 15.0.
Match halves
Heidenheim: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59. Stuttgart: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Heidenheim: 46-60 (5 goals). Stuttgart: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stuttgart is the clear favorite in this match. Heidenheim is in last 18th place in the table with disastrous form – zero wins in their last 5 matches and only an 18% win rate at home. The hosts have the worst goal difference (-14) in home matches, scoring an average of only 0.91 goals while conceding 2.18 goals per game. Stuttgart, on the other hand, is in 4th place, showing excellent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches. The visitors win 45% of their away matches, scoring an average of 2.18 goals, and they have not had a single goalless match away this season. Stuttgart's advantage in possession (59% vs 41%), shot accuracy (15% vs 7%), and expected goals (1.83 vs 1.31) further confirms their dominance. Taking all statistics into account, Stuttgart should confidently win this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heidenheim | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stuttgart is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Heidenheim · 2 pts / match - Stuttgart
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stuttgart is 116% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.86 goals / match - Stuttgart
Stuttgart is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.18 goals / match - Heidenheim · 1.32 goals / match - Stuttgart
Heidenheim scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Stuttgart scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Heidenheim keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heidenheim
Over / Under - Stuttgart
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stuttgart is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - Heidenheim · 1.45 pts / match - Stuttgart
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heidenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stuttgart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heidenheim
Stuttgart
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Heidenheim | Liga | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.05 | 3.20 | • 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 59% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 83% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heidenheim 0 - 0 - 1 Stuttgart. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heidenheim vs Stuttgart?
The Bundesliga match finished Heidenheim 3:3 Stuttgart. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heidenheim vs Stuttgart?
Heidenheim score 0.86 goals per game on average and Stuttgart 1.86. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Heidenheim's matches and 59% of Stuttgart's.
What form are Heidenheim and Stuttgart in?
Over the last 5 games Heidenheim have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Stuttgart 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heidenheim vs Stuttgart?
The statistical background for Heidenheim vs Stuttgart — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.