Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shanghai Jiading: match statistics
Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shanghai Jiading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heilongjiang Lava Spring played Shanghai Jiading in China League One (China). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Shanghai Jiading: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores 1.50 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Shanghai Jiading scores 1.36 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 86%, Shanghai Jiading 57%. Over 2.5: Heilongjiang Lava Spring 57%, Shanghai Jiading 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Heilongjiang Lava Spring has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.27. Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 11.1 shots per match, Shanghai Jiading: 9.4.
Match halves
Heilongjiang Lava Spring: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Shanghai Jiading: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 16-30 (4 goals). Shanghai Jiading: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
China League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heilongjiang has not won any of their last 5 matches (0-3-2), scoring 9 and conceding 14 (avg. 1.8 goals for, 2.8 against per match), while Shanghai Jiading have won 4 of their last 5 (4-0-1), scoring 7 and conceding 5 (avg. 1.4 GF, 1.0 GA). At home Heilongjiang generate a high volume of shots — 12.71 attempts and 5.00 on target on average, translating to 1.57 goals with a conversion rate of 12%, but they concede 1.86 goals per game and have 0% clean sheets, highlighting defensive issues. Shanghai Jiading away produce 7.71 shots (3.14 on target) with a higher conversion of 17%, concede 1.00 on average away; their away xG is 1.06 versus xG against 1.53, suggesting efficiency in limiting danger. The difference in form and points is significant — Shanghai average 2.4 points in the last 5 matches versus Heilongjiang’s 0.6, and sit 4th in the table versus 11th, therefore I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 57% (Heilongjiang 57% vs Shanghai Jiading 57%), slightly above the league average of 54%, so statistically both sides often exchange goals. In the last 5 matches Heilongjiang posts BTTS 80% and concedes an average of 2.8 goals per match, while Shanghai Jiading has BTTS 60% and concedes 1.0 on average, indicating the hosts have recently been very susceptible to opponents’ goals. Additionally, xG shows the hosts create about 1.48 xG (last 5: 1.49) and the visitors allow on average 1.53 xG, while Heilongjiang averages 11.14 shots (3.71 on target) versus 7.71 (3.14 on target) for the visitors — this confirms real scoring opportunities from both sides. Season goal numbers also support BTTS: Heilongjiang scored 21 and conceded 24, Shanghai scored 19 and conceded 16, and both have only 29% clean sheets, so goal occurrences are frequent. Therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 75% vs 25% for No, because the combination of 57% season BTTS, 80% L5 for the hosts and the hosts’ clear vulnerability to goals (2.8 L5, 24 conceded this season) creates the strongest signal for both teams to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.51 goals for Heilongjiang (xG_for 1.48 vs opponents xG_against 1.53, average 1.51) and 1.13 goals for Shanghai Jiading (xG_for 1.06 vs opponents xG_against 1.20, average 1.13), totaling 2.64 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.64 yields ~74% probability of Over 1.5 goals (at least 2), ~49% for Over 2.5 (at least 3) and ~27% for Over 3.5 (at least 4). Seasonal metrics confirm a goal-prone tendency: hosts have 71% of matches Over 1.5 and 57% Over 2.5, visitors 86% Over 1.5 and 57% Over 2.5, which strengthens the over signal—particularly Over 1.5. Additionally, hosts average 11.14 shots (3.71 on target) versus visitors 7.71 (3.14 on target), and in their last 5 matches hosts have averaged 1.8 goals, suggesting an open match and increased probability of at least 2 goals. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal — it represents the largest statistical edge given the 2.64 expected goals combined with xG and seasonal indicators.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the home side led in only 2 of 7 matches (29%) and were losing at the break in 4 of 7 (57%), while the visitors were level at half-time in 3 of 7 (43%). Season numbers show the home team create more opportunities: xG 1.48 versus 1.06 for the visitors and on average 11.14 shots per match versus 7.71, but in the last 5 matches form favors the visitors — 4 wins in 5 (80%) compared to 0 wins for the home side (0%). In second halves the home side score on average 0.86 goals versus 0.57 for the visitors, which gives them a chance for a turnaround, yet in the last 5 matches the visitors collected more points after the break (an average of 1.4 points per match) than the home side (0.4). Considering the frequent instances of the home side losing at the break (57%) and the clear form of the visitors (80% wins in 5), the strongest signal is that the visitors will lead at the break and hold the win; therefore I pick 2/2 as the best bet and assign it the highest probability (26%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Shanghai Jiading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shanghai Jiading is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 2.6 pts / match - Shanghai Jiading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 1.36 goals / match - Shanghai Jiading
Shanghai Jiading is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 1.14 goals / match - Shanghai Jiading
Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Shanghai Jiading keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Shanghai Jiading scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Over / Under - Shanghai Jiading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring · 1.14 pts / match - Shanghai Jiading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shanghai Jiading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Shanghai Jiading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).
Teams vs league
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | Liga | Shanghai Jiading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.58 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1 - 0 - 1 Shanghai Jiading. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shanghai Jiading?
The China League One match finished Heilongjiang Lava Spring 0:1 Shanghai Jiading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Shanghai Jiading?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Heilongjiang Lava Spring won 1, Shanghai Jiading won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shanghai Jiading?
Heilongjiang Lava Spring score 1.50 goals per game on average and Shanghai Jiading 1.36. The China League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's matches and 57% of Shanghai Jiading's.
What form are Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Shanghai Jiading in?
Over the last 5 games Heilongjiang Lava Spring have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Shanghai Jiading 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Shanghai Jiading?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.