Hellas Verona vs Genoa: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to equal chances for both teams, with a draw appearing to be the most likely outcome. Hellas Verona is in last place in the table with a mere 8% home win rate; however, Genoa also displays poor away form, winning only 15% of their games on the road. Both squads share an identical average of goals conceded in their matches (1.62), indicating a similar defensive level. Genoa has slightly better form over the last five matches (1.4 points per match vs Verona's 0.8), but a high percentage of away draws (38%) and the poor efficiency of both teams point toward shared points. Given Verona's low chance conversion rate (9%) and Genoa's marginal xG advantage, I expect a fiercely contested, evenly matched game ending in a draw.
Hellas Verona vs Genoa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hellas Verona played Genoa in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Hellas Verona: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Genoa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hellas Verona scores 0.79 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Genoa scores 1.21 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hellas Verona 54%, Genoa 61%. Over 2.5: Hellas Verona 64%, Genoa 61%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Genoa has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.21. Hellas Verona: 10.9 shots per match, Genoa: 11.5.
Match halves
Hellas Verona: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.32. Genoa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Hellas Verona: 16-30 (7 goals). Genoa: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to equal chances for both teams, with a draw appearing to be the most likely outcome. Hellas Verona is in last place in the table with a mere 8% home win rate; however, Genoa also displays poor away form, winning only 15% of their games on the road. Both squads share an identical average of goals conceded in their matches (1.62), indicating a similar defensive level. Genoa has slightly better form over the last five matches (1.4 points per match vs Verona's 0.8), but a high percentage of away draws (38%) and the poor efficiency of both teams point toward shared points. Given Verona's low chance conversion rate (9%) and Genoa's marginal xG advantage, I expect a fiercely contested, evenly matched game ending in a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hellas Verona | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Genoa is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Hellas Verona · 1.4 pts / match - Genoa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Genoa is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Hellas Verona · 1.21 goals / match - Genoa
Genoa is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Hellas Verona · 1.43 goals / match - Genoa
Hellas Verona scores in 54% of matches (15 of 28 matches), while Genoa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
Genoa scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Hellas Verona keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hellas Verona
Over / Under - Genoa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Genoa is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Hellas Verona · 1.21 pts / match - Genoa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hellas Verona - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Genoa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hellas Verona
Genoa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Hellas Verona | Liga | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.54 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hellas Verona 0 - 0 - 1 Genoa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
The Serie A match finished Hellas Verona 0:2 Genoa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Hellas Verona score 0.79 goals per game on average and Genoa 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Hellas Verona's matches and 61% of Genoa's.
What form are Hellas Verona and Genoa in?
Over the last 5 games Hellas Verona have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Genoa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hellas Verona vs Genoa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.