Helmond Sport vs Heracles: match statistics
Helmond Sport vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Helmond Sport played Heracles in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 2 October 2026. Venue: SolarUnie Stadion. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Helmond Sport: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Heracles: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Helmond Sport scores 1.63 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Heracles scores 3.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Helmond Sport 88%, Heracles 63%. Over 2.5: Helmond Sport 63%, Heracles 75%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Heracles has higher xG: 2.33 vs 1.25. Helmond Sport: 11.0 shots per match, Heracles: 21.3.
Match halves
Helmond Sport: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. Heracles: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Helmond Sport: 16-30 (4 goals). Heracles: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.70 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heracles lead the table with 7 wins from 8 matches, while 14th-placed Helmond Sport have won 2 of their 8 games. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals, while the hosts have recorded 2 wins and scored 10 goals over the same period. Away from home, Heracles average 3.25 goals and generate an xG of 2.12, compared with Helmond Sport’s 2.25 goals and 1.46 xG at home. The visitors’ edge in chance creation is also reflected in their average of 20 shots away from home, against the hosts’ 13.25 shots per home game. Helmond Sport are yet to lose at home, but their opponents’ home xG stands at 1.69, which, combined with Heracles’ finishing, points towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has occurred in 50% of Helmond Sport’s home matches and 75% of Heracles’ away matches, while the league average is 71%, pointing towards goals for both teams. Both sides score 3.25 goals per match in the relevant conditions, with an xG of 2.55 for the hosts and 2.12 for the visitors, giving each a clear attacking threat. Heracles have not kept a clean sheet away from home, while Helmond have scored in every home match, particularly strengthening the chances of a goal from the hosts. Caution is warranted, however, as Helmond have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, and BTTS landed in only 40% of Heracles’ last 5 matches. Despite these caveats, the scoring form of both attacks and Heracles’ lack of away clean sheets give the edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 100% of Helmond Sport’s home matches and 75% of Heracles’ away matches. Both teams average 3.25 goals in these conditions, although their last five matches present a more cautious picture — Helmond scored an average of 2.0 goals, while Heracles averaged 2.6. Their attacking potential is supported by xG figures of 2.55 for the home side and 2.12 for the visitors, with the league average standing at 3.7 goals per match. Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals are also backed by the data, with each line landing in 75% of the relevant matches for both teams, but Over 1.5 goals remains the clearly safer pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Heracles have a slightly stronger signal to lead at the break: across the four away matches analysed, they scored an average of 2 goals before half-time and conceded none, while Helmond averaged 1.5 goals at home over the same period. The visitors led at half-time in 3 of their 4 away matches and had a half-time lead in 3 of their last 5 matches overall, compared with 1 such match for Helmond. Heracles’ current form also supports them maintaining their advantage: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Helmond have won 2 of 5. The risk of a turnaround is nevertheless significant, as the hosts won all 4 home matches analysed and averaged 1.75 goals after the break, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.5 goals in the second halves of their away matches. Despite Helmond’s strength at home, Heracles’ advantage before half-time and their better recent run make a Heracles lead at both half-time and full-time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Helmond Sport | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Heracles is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 2.4 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Helmond Sport · 3.25 goals / match - Heracles
Heracles is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Helmond Sport · 1.25 goals / match - Heracles
Helmond Sport scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Heracles scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Helmond Sport
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heracles is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 2.38 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Helmond Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 88%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Helmond Sport
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Helmond Sport | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.38 | 3.70 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Helmond Sport 2:2 Heracles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Helmond Sport score 1.63 goals per game on average and Heracles 3.25. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Helmond Sport's matches and 63% of Heracles's.
What form are Helmond Sport and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games Helmond Sport have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Heracles 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Helmond Sport vs Heracles?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Helmond Sport vs Heracles: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.