Netherlands - Eerste DivisieSolarUnie StadionData current as of 15 October 2026

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Helmond Sport play NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: SolarUnie Stadion.

Current form

Helmond Sport: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. NAC Breda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Helmond Sport scores 1.60 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 2.00 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Helmond Sport 90%, NAC Breda 80%. Over 2.5: Helmond Sport 70%, NAC Breda 80%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.12 vs 1.34. Helmond Sport: 11.8 shots per match, NAC Breda: 20.8.

Match halves

Helmond Sport: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. NAC Breda: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Helmond Sport: 16-30 (4 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.52 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(5.50)
(4.60)
(1.46)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.6Goals scored / match2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.9Goals conceded / match1.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
45%Average possession57%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
4.2Shots on target / match6.4
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.8Shots per match20.8
Helmond SportNAC Breda
4.2Shots on target6.4
Helmond SportNAC Breda
13.6%Shot conversion9.6%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
45%Possession57%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.34xG for2.12
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.86xG against1.1
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Shooting quality

Helmond Sport: Counter-attackingNAC Breda: Dominant
Helmond SportNAC Breda
Accuracy (shots on target)36%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NAC Breda is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 2 pts / match - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport
WLLDL
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
NAC Breda
LWWDW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 0.89BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Helmond Sport · 2 goals / match - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport scoring profile: very strong

Helmond Sport scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

16Goals scored (season)20
Helmond SportNAC Breda
19Goals conceded (season)19
Helmond SportNAC Breda
3.5Average goals in match3.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
7Goals scored (last 5)11
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
Helmond SportNAC Breda

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal90%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%2 goals80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
20%3 goals20%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%4 goals10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal90%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
70%2 goals70%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
20%3 goals20%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0%4 goals10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

67%
League average

Goal patterns

70%BTTS at half-time40%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%BTTS in both halves10%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Scored in both halves30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
80%BTTS - last 580%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
80%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NAC Breda is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 1.9 pts / match - NAC Breda

Helmond Sport - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
NAC Breda - half-time state
60% leading10% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.9
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1Goals scored (1st half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Helmond SportNAC Breda
2.1Average goals (1st half)1.7
Helmond SportNAC Breda
30%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10%No goal before half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1
Helmond SportNAC Breda
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
1.4Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40%Clean sheet after half-time30%
Helmond SportNAC Breda
60%No goal after half-time50%
Helmond SportNAC Breda

Helmond Sport - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
10
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

NAC Breda - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Helmond Sport - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.40
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match2.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
NAC Breda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.00
Goals scored / match1.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+5-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Helmond Sport
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
2
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
2
31-45
0
5
46-60
4
3
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
85%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
81%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Helmond Sport

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Helmond SportLigaNAC Breda
Average goals in match• 3.503.52▲ 3.90
Both teams scored▲ 90%67%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%67%▲ 80%
Clean sheets▼ 0%18%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%80%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%84%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.52
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
2.03
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+30%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Helmond Sport and NAC Breda play?

Helmond Sport face NAC Breda on 16 October 2026 in Eerste Divisie at SolarUnie Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Helmond Sport score 1.60 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 2.00. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 90% of Helmond Sport's matches and 80% of NAC Breda's.

What form are Helmond Sport and NAC Breda in?

Over the last 5 games Helmond Sport have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.