Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics
Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Helmond Sport played RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Helmond Sport: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. RKC Waalwijk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Helmond Sport scores 1.12 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. RKC Waalwijk scores 1.74 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Helmond Sport 56%, RKC Waalwijk 76%. Over 2.5: Helmond Sport 56%, RKC Waalwijk 68%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
RKC Waalwijk has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.33. Helmond Sport: 11.9 shots per match, RKC Waalwijk: 15.1.
Match halves
Helmond Sport: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59. RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Helmond Sport: 46-60 (9 goals). RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
RKC Waalwijk is the match favorite: they sit 6th versus Helmond’s 18th and have 59 goals this season compared to the hosts’ 38. In the last 5 matches RKC scored 12 goals and average 2.0 points per game (3W-1D-1L), while Helmond have only 2 goals and 0.4 PPG (0W-2D-3L). The visitors create clearly better chances – average away xG 1.67 versus 1.40 for the home side, 5.29 shots on target against 4.35 and 15 attempts per match versus 12.41; although shot conversion is similar (12% vs 13%), Helmond have a lower share of home goalless games (FTS 12% vs 18% RKC). Both defenses are prone to conceding: Helmond concede 1.53 goals at home on average, RKC 1.41 away, and the overall goals averages are high (3.12 at Helmond vs 3.24 for RKC), which favors an open game. Considering RKC’s advantage in goals scored (59 vs 38), superior xG (1.67 vs 1.40) and significantly better form over the last 5 (2.0 vs 0.4 PPG), I back the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong BTTS signal this season: Helmond Sport 82% and RKC Waalwijk 71%, averaging 76.5% which exceeds the league mean of 62%. Low clean sheet rates (18% for home and 18% for away vs 41% league-wide) and seasonal goals averages — Helmond 1.65 scored and 1.59 conceded, RKC 1.82 scored and 1.41 conceded — support a both teams to score scenario. However, the last 5 matches show a divergence: Helmond has scored 2 goals (0.4 per game) and has 40% BTTS, while RKC has scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and has 80% BTTS, suggesting RKC will be the primary source of goals. Season xG confirms chance creation: Helmond xG_for 1.71 vs xG_against 1.45, RKC xG_for 1.67 vs xG_against 1.37, and the share of matches over 2.5 goals is 65% for the home side and 71% for the away side, which further favors goals from both teams. Weighing seasonal stats, low CS rates and last-5 form, I assign 69% to YES and 31% to NO, so the best pick is 'yes' (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 3.10 (1.54 for Helmond and 1.56 for RKC), which indicates a strong likelihood of multiple goals. Seasonal indicators support this: Helmond’s matches finished over 1.5 goals in 94% of cases and RKC in 88% (average 91%), while Over 2.5 occurred in 65% and 71% of their games respectively (average 68%). Additionally, BTTS happened in 82% of Helmond’s matches and 71% of RKC’s, and the league average goals is 3.21, reinforcing the signal for a high-scoring game. However, note that in the last 5 matches Helmond averaged only 0.4 goals versus 2.4 for RKC, so the home side’s recent dip slightly reduces the probability of a very high scoreline. After weighing xG (3.10), seasonal rates (average 91% for Over 1.5) and form, I assign Over 1.5 approximately an 89% chance (recommended line), Over 2.5 about 65% and Over 3.5 about 39%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is the away side leading at the break and RKC winning the match (HT/FT: 2/2). In their last five matches RKC have averaged 2.4 goals per game and led at the break in 80% of fixtures, while Helmond have averaged 0.4 goals in their last five and have 0% leads at the break. On a season level the xG is virtually even (xG 1.71 for Helmond vs 1.67 for RKC) and season scoring averages are 1.65 for Helmond and 1.82 for RKC, but form over the last five clearly favors the visitors. Additionally, the visitors show very high second-half activity (94% of RKC matches with >0.5 goals in the second half), and Helmond concedes many late goals (10 goals conceded in minutes 76–90), which increases the likelihood that RKC will close out the game after the break. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 2/2 (40%), with alternatives X/2 (20%) and X/X (12%), taking into account that Helmond have historically scored 9 goals in minutes 0–15.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Helmond Sport | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RKC Waalwijk is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 2 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RKC Waalwijk is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Helmond Sport · 1.74 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk
RKC Waalwijk is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Helmond Sport · 1.5 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk
Helmond Sport scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
RKC Waalwijk scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Helmond Sport keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Helmond Sport
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RKC Waalwijk is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Helmond Sport · 1.74 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Helmond Sport - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Helmond Sport
RKC Waalwijk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Helmond Sport | Liga | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.85 | 3.21 | • 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Helmond Sport 0 - 1 - 0 RKC Waalwijk. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Helmond Sport 2:2 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk?
Helmond Sport score 1.12 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 1.74. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Helmond Sport's matches and 76% of RKC Waalwijk's.
What form are Helmond Sport and RKC Waalwijk in?
Over the last 5 games Helmond Sport have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.