Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang FC: match statistics
Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Henan Jianye played Zhejiang FC in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Henan Jianye: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Zhejiang FC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Henan Jianye scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Zhejiang FC scores 1.29 and concedes 1.64. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Henan Jianye 50%, Zhejiang FC 50%. Over 2.5: Henan Jianye 57%, Zhejiang FC 57%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Zhejiang FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.25. Henan Jianye: 10.7 shots per match, Zhejiang FC: 14.5.
Match halves
Henan Jianye: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Zhejiang FC: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Henan Jianye: 16-30 (4 goals). Zhejiang FC: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Henan Jianye are favorites in this matchup due to superior defensive metrics and recent form. The hosts have scored 16 goals this season, averaging 1.33 goals per home game, while Zhejiang FC have 18 goals this season and also average 1.33 goals on the road, so offensive efficiency is balanced. The decisive difference is defense: Henan concedes 1.00 goal per home match and has a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas Zhejiang FC concede 2.17 goals away and have a 0% clean sheet rate, granting the hosts a significant edge. Henan produce higher xG at home (1.53 vs 1.38) and register higher possession (56% vs 52%); although Zhejiang attempt slightly more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.67), the visitors’ poorer defensive performance leaves them disadvantaged. Over the last 5 matches Henan are 3-1-1 and have scored 6 goals, while Zhejiang FC are 2-2-1 and have scored 9 but conceded 10, therefore I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis supports BTTS = YES: in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 60% of Henan games and 80% of Zhejiang games, versus a league average BTTS of 63%. Zhejiang concedes an average of 2.17 goals this season and 2.0 in the last five, while Henan scores 1.25 goals this season and 1.2 in the last five, increasing the likelihood of the hosts scoring. xG data corroborates the offensive pressure — Henan has xG_for 1.80 against Zhejiang xG_against 1.34, and Zhejiang recently has xG_for 1.70 with xG_against Henan 1.22; additionally Henan averages 16.25 shots (6.0 on target) versus Zhejiang 12.17 (4.0 on target). Furthermore Zhejiang has 0% clean sheets this season and Henan only 25% (league 42% clean sheets), which reduces the chance of a clean sheet and supports a both teams to score scenario. On this basis I assign BTTS=YES 75% and BTTS=NO 25%, selecting “yes” as the strongest signal due to form (60%/80%), high average goals conceded 2.17 and supporting xG figures.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected xG is 1.57 for Henan (average of xG_for_home 1.80 and xG_against_away 1.34) and 1.35 for Zhejiang (average of xG_for_away 1.38 and xG_against_home 1.32), giving a combined 2.92 xG. A Poisson model with λ=2.92 indicates ~78.9% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~55.9% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~33.5% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal data support these conclusions: Over 1.5 occurs in 75% of home matches and 100% of away matches, while Over 2.5 occurs in 38% and 83% of matches respectively, with the league average Over 2.5 = 59%. Henan averages 6.0 shots on target and xG 1.80, Zhejiang 4.0 shots on target and xG 1.38, with Zhejiang conceding 2.17 goals per game on average, which favors scoring. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (line at 1.5) based on the combined xG 2.92 and Poisson probability of ~79%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (home team leading at the break and winning), which the model prices at around 31%. Henan has the offensive edge: the home side’s xG is 1.80 versus Zhejiang’s 1.38, averaging 6 shots on target compared to 4 and 16.25 total shots compared to the visitors’ 12.17. Zhejiang concedes an average of 2.17 goals per game and has no clean sheets this season (0%), and the visitors have been trailing at the break in 83% of their matches, while the home team scores an average of 0.38 goals before half-time (vs 0.17 for the visitors). However, a half-time draw is common for Henan (50% of matches), so the X/1 variant (draw HT, home win FT) also carries a notable probability (~10%). In sum, the xG advantage and greater number of shots on target (6 vs 4) together with the visitors’ weak defense (2.17 goals conceded and 0% clean sheets) point to 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Henan Jianye | Zhejiang FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Henan Jianye is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Henan Jianye · 1.6 pts / match - Zhejiang FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zhejiang FC is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Henan Jianye · 1.29 goals / match - Zhejiang FC
Henan Jianye is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Henan Jianye · 1.64 goals / match - Zhejiang FC
Henan Jianye scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Zhejiang FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Zhejiang FC scores in 57% of matches (8 of 14 matches), while Henan Jianye keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Henan Jianye
Over / Under - Zhejiang FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Henan Jianye is 151% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Henan Jianye · 0.57 pts / match - Zhejiang FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Henan Jianye - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Zhejiang FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Henan Jianye
Zhejiang FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Henan Jianye | Liga | Zhejiang FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 3.01 | • 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 89% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Henan Jianye 0 - 2 - 0 Zhejiang FC. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang FC?
The Chinese Super League match finished Henan Jianye 0:2 Zhejiang FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Henan Jianye and Zhejiang FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Henan Jianye won 0, Zhejiang FC won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang FC?
Henan Jianye score 1.14 goals per game on average and Zhejiang FC 1.29. The Chinese Super League average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Henan Jianye's matches and 50% of Zhejiang FC's.
What form are Henan Jianye and Zhejiang FC in?
Over the last 5 games Henan Jianye have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Zhejiang FC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Henan Jianye vs Zhejiang FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


