Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 31 August 2026

Heracles vs De Graafschap: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Heracles vs De Graafschap: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Heracles play De Graafschap in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 4 September 2026.

Current form

Heracles: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match. De Graafschap: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Heracles scores 4.00 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. De Graafschap scores 1.25 and concedes 3.00. League average: 3.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Heracles 100%, De Graafschap 100%. Over 2.5: Heracles 100%, De Graafschap 75%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Heracles has higher xG: 2.46 vs 1.86. Heracles: 21.5 shots per match, De Graafschap: 18.5.

Match halves

Heracles: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 1.75. De Graafschap: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Heracles: 31-45+ (7 goals). De Graafschap: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.85 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HeraclesDe Graafschap
4Goals scored / match1.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
1.75Goals conceded / match3
HeraclesDe Graafschap
56%Average possession57%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
9.75Shots on target / match4.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

21.5Shots per match18.5
HeraclesDe Graafschap
9.75Shots on target4.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
18.6%Shot conversion6.8%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
56%Possession57%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
2.46xG for1.86
HeraclesDe Graafschap
1.29xG against1.65
HeraclesDe Graafschap

Shooting quality

Heracles: DominantDe Graafschap: Dominant
HeraclesDe Graafschap
Accuracy (shots on target)45%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Heracles is 1100% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Heracles · 0.25 pts / match - De Graafschap

Heracles
WWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 4.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.46Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
De Graafschap
DLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W25% R75% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-3
0.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 75%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Heracles is 220% better for: goals scored per match.

4 goals / match - Heracles · 1.25 goals / match - De Graafschap

Heracles is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Heracles · 3 goals / match - De Graafschap

Heracles scoring profile: very strong

Heracles scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

16Goals scored (season)5
HeraclesDe Graafschap
7Goals conceded (season)12
HeraclesDe Graafschap
5.75Average goals in match4.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
16Goals scored (last 5)5
HeraclesDe Graafschap
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
HeraclesDe Graafschap

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%2 goals25%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%3 goals0%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50%4 goals0%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50%2 goals75%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
25%3 goals50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%4 goals50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

78%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%BTTS in both halves25%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%Scored in both halves25%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%BTTS - last 5100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
75%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heracles is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

3 pts / match - Heracles · 0.75 pts / match - De Graafschap

Heracles - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
De Graafschap - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)0.75
HeraclesDe Graafschap
2.25Goals scored (1st half)1
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0Goals conceded (1st half)1.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
2.25Average goals (1st half)2.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
100%Clean sheet before half-time0%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%No goal before half-time0%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)0.5
HeraclesDe Graafschap
1.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
HeraclesDe Graafschap
1.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1.75
HeraclesDe Graafschap
3.5Average goals (2nd half)2
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
HeraclesDe Graafschap
0%No goal after half-time75%
HeraclesDe Graafschap

Heracles - second-half results

25% W50% R25% P
12
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.8

Concedes 1.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - second-half results

0% W50% R50% P
3
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Heracles - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.25
Goals scored / match2.31.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.8
Average goals in match2.33.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%100%
3 goals25%75%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+90
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 9
De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.750.50
Goals scored / match1.00.3
Goals conceded / match1.31.8
Average goals in match2.32.0
1 goal100%50%
2 goals100%50%
3 goals25%50%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal0%75%
Goal difference-1-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 75% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 100% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Heracles
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
7
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

5.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
3.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
130%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Heracles

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.54
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
207%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

HeraclesLigaDe Graafschap
Average goals in match 5.753.85 4.25
Both teams scored 100%78% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%75% 75%
Clean sheets 0%11% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%85% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%88% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.85
Average goals per match
78%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
11%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / match
1.93
Away goals / match
+0%
Home attack advantage
+0%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Heracles and De Graafschap play?

Heracles face De Graafschap on 4 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs De Graafschap?

Heracles score 4.00 goals per game on average and De Graafschap 1.25. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Heracles's matches and 100% of De Graafschap's.

What form are Heracles and De Graafschap in?

Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and De Graafschap 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs De Graafschap?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heracles vs De Graafschap: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.