Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard: match statistics
The match promises to be a closely contested clash between two teams with defensive issues. Heracles are 18th in the table and are on a disastrous run – just 1 point in their last 5 matches, but at home they show greater offensive efficiency (averaging 2 goals per game) with a high average xG (1.59). Fortuna Sittard are in slightly better form (7 points in their last 5 matches), but they struggle away from home – just a 20% win rate and 0% clean sheets. A key factor is the defense of both teams: Heracles concede an average of 2.56 goals at home, while Fortuna concede 1.9 away, suggesting an entertaining match with plenty of goals (an average of 4.56 goals in Heracles' home games). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation and the instability of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heracles played Fortuna Sittard in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Heracles: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Fortuna Sittard: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heracles scores 1.40 and concedes 2.60 goals per match. Fortuna Sittard scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heracles 55%, Fortuna Sittard 70%. Over 2.5: Heracles 75%, Fortuna Sittard 60%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Fortuna Sittard has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.26. Heracles: 11.1 shots per match, Fortuna Sittard: 12.9.
Match halves
Heracles: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Fortuna Sittard: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Heracles: 46-60 (7 goals). Fortuna Sittard: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be a closely contested clash between two teams with defensive issues. Heracles are 18th in the table and are on a disastrous run – just 1 point in their last 5 matches, but at home they show greater offensive efficiency (averaging 2 goals per game) with a high average xG (1.59). Fortuna Sittard are in slightly better form (7 points in their last 5 matches), but they struggle away from home – just a 20% win rate and 0% clean sheets. A key factor is the defense of both teams: Heracles concede an average of 2.56 goals at home, while Fortuna concede 1.9 away, suggesting an entertaining match with plenty of goals (an average of 4.56 goals in Heracles' home games). Considering the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation and the instability of both teams, a draw appears to be the most likely outcome of this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortuna Sittard is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Heracles · 1.5 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.6 goals / match - Heracles · 1.7 goals / match - Fortuna Sittard
Heracles scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Fortuna Sittard keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Fortuna Sittard scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - Fortuna Sittard
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortuna Sittard is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Heracles · 1.1 pts / match - Fortuna Sittard
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortuna Sittard - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.26 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 19% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heracles 0 - 1 - 0 Fortuna Sittard. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 2:1 Fortuna Sittard. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
Heracles score 1.40 goals per game on average and Fortuna Sittard 1.50. The Eredivisie average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Heracles's matches and 70% of Fortuna Sittard's.
What form are Heracles and Fortuna Sittard in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Fortuna Sittard 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.