Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics
Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heracles played RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Venue: Asito Stadion. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Heracles: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. RKC Waalwijk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heracles scores 3.11 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. RKC Waalwijk scores 2.11 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heracles 67%, RKC Waalwijk 78%. Over 2.5: Heracles 78%, RKC Waalwijk 44%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
Heracles has higher xG: 2.46 vs 1.72. Heracles: 22.2 shots per match, RKC Waalwijk: 14.8.
Match halves
Heracles: half-time lead 78%, second-half goals 1.33. RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Heracles: 31-45+ (10 goals). RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.63 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Heracles have won all 4 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 3.25 goals, while RKC Waalwijk have won just 1 of their 4 away games, averaging 1 goal in those matches. The hosts are also creating more dangerous chances: their home xG stands at 2.55, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.76, and they lead in shots on target by 10 to 5.5 per match. Both teams concede an average of 1 goal on these respective grounds, but Heracles have kept a clean sheet in half of their home matches, compared with RKC in a quarter of their away games. Both sides have recorded 3 wins in their last 5 league matches, but Heracles’ goal difference of 12:5 and RKC’s 13:6 do not offset the hosts’ clear advantage at home. A draw remains possible, particularly as RKC have drawn 2 of their 4 away games, but Heracles’ scoring form points towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Heracles have seen both teams score in 100% of their home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet on every occasion, increasing the likelihood of RKC finding the net. The hosts average 3.0 goals scored at home, while the visitors concede 1.0 per match, making a Heracles goal likely as well. RKC score just 1.0 goal per away match and have failed to score in 25% of their matches, but their average xG is 1.76, compared with 1.48 xG conceded by the hosts' defence. Caution is warranted, as BTTS has landed in 50% of RKC's away matches and in 40% and 60% of the teams' last five matches, respectively. Despite these caveats, Heracles' failure to keep a clean sheet at home and both teams' attacking potential support the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Heracles average 3.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home, with at least two goals in 100% of their home matches. RKC’s away games have also all gone over 1.5 goals, although none have exceeded 2.5, making the higher line less certain. The xG figures also point to goals: Heracles generate 1.68 xG at home and RKC 1.76 xG away, while the chances they concede are worth 1.48 and 1.09 xG respectively. Over their last five matches, Heracles have averaged 2.4 goals scored and RKC 2.6, supporting a forecast of 3.3 goals in total. Over 1.5 therefore remains the strongest signal, backed by both teams’ results so far in the relevant home and away roles.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Heracles led at the break in 4 of their 5 home matches, while RKC were trailing after 45 minutes in 3 of their 4 away games. The hosts average 1.4 goals before half-time at home, and the visitors have failed to score in the first half away from home, pointing to an early Heracles lead. Across full matches, Heracles average 3.0 goals at home and remain unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 2 wins and 3 draws. However, holding on to the lead is not guaranteed: RKC won the second half in 3 of their 4 away games and have averaged 2.6 goals over their last 5 matches, compared with 2.4 for Heracles. Despite the threat of a draw, the hosts’ advantage at the break and their home scoring record make a Heracles HT/FT win the most likely single outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heracles is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
3.11 goals / match - Heracles · 2.11 goals / match - RKC Waalwijk
Heracles scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
RKC Waalwijk scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - RKC Waalwijk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heracles is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.44 pts / match - Heracles · 1.44 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 78% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heracles
RKC Waalwijk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.44 | 3.63 | ▼ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 16% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Heracles 3:0 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?
Heracles score 3.11 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 2.11. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Heracles's matches and 78% of RKC Waalwijk's.
What form are Heracles and RKC Waalwijk in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk?
The statistical background for Heracles vs RKC Waalwijk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.