Heracles vs Twente: match statistics
Twente clearly outperforms Heracles in terms of form and quality. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per match in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), while the hosts have managed only 0.8 points with one win and three defeats. Heracles are 18th in the table with a -3 goal difference at home, conceding an average of 2.63 goals per home match, which highlights a major defensive weakness. Twente demonstrate solid away form (goal difference +3, averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded), while also dominating in ball possession (53% vs 43%) and generating higher xG values (1.98 vs the hosts' 1.65). Additionally, the visitors boast a significantly better efficiency and consistency rate, which, combined with Heracles' poor defense, should translate into a Twente victory.
Heracles vs Twente: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Heracles played Twente in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Heracles: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Twente: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Heracles scores 1.44 and concedes 2.56 goals per match. Twente scores 1.50 and concedes 1.22. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Heracles 56%, Twente 67%. Over 2.5: Heracles 78%, Twente 39%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Twente has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.30. Heracles: 11.3 shots per match, Twente: 18.9.
Match halves
Heracles: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83. Twente: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Heracles: 46-60 (7 goals). Twente: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Twente clearly outperforms Heracles in terms of form and quality. The visitors have averaged 2.2 points per match in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), while the hosts have managed only 0.8 points with one win and three defeats. Heracles are 18th in the table with a -3 goal difference at home, conceding an average of 2.63 goals per home match, which highlights a major defensive weakness. Twente demonstrate solid away form (goal difference +3, averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.22 conceded), while also dominating in ball possession (53% vs 43%) and generating higher xG values (1.98 vs the hosts' 1.65). Additionally, the visitors boast a significantly better efficiency and consistency rate, which, combined with Heracles' poor defense, should translate into a Twente victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Heracles | Twente | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Twente is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Heracles · 1.8 pts / match - Twente
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Twente is 110% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.56 goals / match - Heracles · 1.22 goals / match - Twente
Heracles scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Twente keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Twente scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Heracles
Over / Under - Twente
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Twente is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Heracles · 1.33 pts / match - Twente
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Twente - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Heracles
Twente
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Heracles | Liga | Twente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 63% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Heracles 0 - 0 - 1 Twente. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Heracles vs Twente?
The Eredivisie match finished Heracles 0:2 Twente. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Heracles vs Twente?
Heracles score 1.44 goals per game on average and Twente 1.50. The Eredivisie average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Heracles's matches and 67% of Twente's.
What form are Heracles and Twente in?
Over the last 5 games Heracles have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Twente 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Heracles vs Twente?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Heracles vs Twente: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.