Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hertha BSC played Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Hertha BSC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nürnberg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hertha BSC scores 1.39 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 1.30 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hertha BSC 39%, Nürnberg 65%. Over 2.5: Hertha BSC 48%, Nürnberg 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Nürnberg has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.43. Hertha BSC: 12.4 shots per match, Nürnberg: 12.9.
Match halves
Hertha BSC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.83. Nürnberg: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Hertha BSC: 76-90+ (8 goals). Nürnberg: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced match between two teams with similar form and league position. Hertha BSC is in 7th place, and Nürnberg is in 8th, which reflects their comparable sporting level. The form of both teams in the last five matches is identical – 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses each, with a PPG of 1.0. Hertha has a home advantage, where they achieve 33% wins, but also 33% draws, which suggests difficulties in breaking down opponents at home. Nürnberg shows poor away form (64% losses, 0% clean sheets), but similar xG values (1.49 vs 1.53 for Hertha, 1.4 vs 1.49 for Nürnberg) and identical average possession (49%) indicate tactical balance. Taking all factors into account, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the slight home advantage gives the hosts minimally higher chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hertha BSC | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hertha BSC is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Hertha BSC · 1.3 goals / match - Nürnberg
Hertha BSC is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Hertha BSC · 1.39 goals / match - Nürnberg
Hertha BSC scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Nürnberg scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hertha BSC
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hertha BSC is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Hertha BSC · 1.22 pts / match - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hertha BSC
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hertha BSC | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hertha BSC 1 - 0 - 0 Nürnberg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Hertha BSC 2:1 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
Hertha BSC score 1.39 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.30. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Hertha BSC's matches and 65% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Hertha BSC and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Hertha BSC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nürnberg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.