HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge FC: match statistics
HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HFX Wanderers FC play Forge FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
HFX Wanderers FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Forge FC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.29 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Forge FC scores 1.67 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HFX Wanderers FC 64%, Forge FC 42%. Over 2.5: HFX Wanderers FC 50%, Forge FC 42%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Forge FC has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.06. HFX Wanderers FC: 9.1 shots per match, Forge FC: 13.7.
Match halves
HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.93. Forge FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
HFX Wanderers FC: 76-90+ (5 goals). Forge FC: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 0-1-4. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
The match favorite is Forge FC (2): they sit 1st with a season record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses and a goal difference of 4 scored and 0 conceded. In their last 5 matches Forge have scored 5 and conceded 4 and average 2.0 points per game, while HFX over the same period have 8 scored and 8 conceded with 1.2 PPG, indicating a form advantage for the visitors. At home HFX average 2.0 goals and 2.0 conceded per game, attempt 15 shots (5 on target) and register 58% possession, however all their home matches so far have ended in draws (100% home draws). Forge away average 0 goals conceded, 100% clean sheets and 11.5 shots with 3 on target, suggesting their defensive discipline can neutralize the advantage HFX create. Considering the visitors’ superior PPG (2.0 vs 1.2), zero away goals conceded in the stats and solid limitation of opponent chances, I assign higher probability to a Forge win (55%), draw 30%, and HFX win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HFX Wanderers FC | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forge FC is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 3 pts / match - Forge FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forge FC is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1.67 goals / match - Forge FC
Forge FC is 159% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 0.58 goals / match - Forge FC
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Forge FC keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
Forge FC scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — HFX Wanderers FC
Over / Under — Forge FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forge FC is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1.58 pts / match - Forge FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forge FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HFX Wanderers FC
Forge FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| HFX Wanderers FC | Liga | Forge FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.79 | 2.90 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): HFX Wanderers FC 0 - 1 - 4 Forge FC. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished HFX Wanderers FC 1:3 Forge FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HFX Wanderers FC and Forge FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HFX Wanderers FC won 0, Forge FC won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge FC?
HFX Wanderers FC score 1.29 goals per game on average and Forge FC 1.67. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of HFX Wanderers FC's matches and 42% of Forge FC's.
What form are HFX Wanderers FC and Forge FC in?
Over the last 5 games HFX Wanderers FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Forge FC 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HFX Wanderers FC vs Forge FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.