HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC: match statistics
HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HFX Wanderers FC played Vancouver FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Wanderers Grounds. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
HFX Wanderers FC: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Vancouver FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
HFX Wanderers FC scores 1.14 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Vancouver FC scores 0.71 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HFX Wanderers FC 71%, Vancouver FC 43%. Over 2.5: HFX Wanderers FC 57%, Vancouver FC 14%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Vancouver FC has higher xG: 1.65 vs 0.97. HFX Wanderers FC: 9.7 shots per match, Vancouver FC: 14.6.
Match halves
HFX Wanderers FC: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.86. Vancouver FC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
HFX Wanderers FC: 46-60 (3 goals). Vancouver FC: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vancouver FC holds a clear form advantage: the visitors average 1.6 points per game over the last 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), while HFX have only 0.2 points (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). In attack Vancouver scored 7 goals in five matches versus HFX’s 3, and average xG is 1.66 for the visitors away compared to 1.19 xG for the home side, indicating higher quality chances for Vancouver. HFX’s defense is vulnerable: the hosts conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches and average 2.0 goals conceded per home game, whereas Vancouver concedes 1.0 goal on the road and 5 goals in their last 5 matches. The visitors also generate more shots and shots on target (15.67 shots and 5 on target away versus 12.33 and 4 on target for the hosts); despite the hosts’ higher finishing rate (11% vs 9%), the superiority in chance volume and xG favors Vancouver, so I expect an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project a BTTS - Yes scenario at 65% versus 35% for No, driven by elevated xG and recent tendency to concede. Both teams show average xG of 1.64 (HFX) and 1.66 (Vancouver), with xG against of 1.29 and 1.08 respectively, yielding approximate expected goals ≈1.36 for the home side and ≈1.48 for the visitors. In the last 5 matches BTTS rate is 60% for both teams; HFX in those 5 matches scored 3 and conceded 11 (0.6 scored, 2.2 conceded), while Vancouver scored 7 and conceded 5 (1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded). Despite HFX’s low seasonal goals scored average 0.25, seasonal BTTS only 25%, and low conversion rate HFX 2% vs Vancouver 9%, the high number of shots (13.75 and 15.67), absence of clean sheets (0% for both) and league BTTS at 52% support backing Both Teams To Score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: HFX has xG for 1.64 while Vancouver concedes xG 1.08, yielding an estimated 1.36 goals for the home side ((1.64+1.08)/2=1.36). Vancouver has xG for 1.66 against HFX’s xG conceded 1.29, giving about 1.48 goals for the away side ((1.66+1.29)/2=1.48), totaling ~2.84 expected goals. Actual figures show a finishing discrepancy: HFX scores on average 0.25 goals this season with a shot conversion of 2%, whereas Vancouver scores 1.33 goals with a 9% conversion rate, so the hosts may waste some xG, but the high xG for both teams (1.64 and 1.66) still points to goals. Additionally, both teams have 100% of matches above 0.5 goals this season, and HFX had 60% of their last 5 matches go over 2.5 goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess 88% probability), Over 2.5 is moderate (66%), and Over 3.5 has low probability (22%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side have major attacking problems: they score on average 0.25 goals per match, compared to Vancouver’s 1.33, and the hosts concede 1.25 on average versus 1.00 for the visitors. In the first half HFX almost always draw — scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0 and drawingAtHTPercentage_home = 100% (4 of 4 matches were level at the break) — which strongly favors a draw at half-time. Despite similar xG (1.64 for HFX vs 1.66 for Vancouver), the visitors have a much better shot conversion: 9% versus 2% for the hosts, translating into a higher goals return. Form also favors the visitors (HFX: lllld, no wins; Vancouver: dwwld, 2 wins in the last 5), so the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Vancouver win at full-time (X/2); additionally, the hosts have never held a lead at the break (leadingAtHT_home = 0.0), so scenarios with HFX leading at half-time are assigned only marginal weight.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HFX Wanderers FC | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vancouver FC is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1 pts / match - Vancouver FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HFX Wanderers FC is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 0.71 goals / match - Vancouver FC
Vancouver FC is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1.14 goals / match - Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Vancouver FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Vancouver FC scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while HFX Wanderers FC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HFX Wanderers FC
Over / Under - Vancouver FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vancouver FC is 165% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / match - HFX Wanderers FC · 1.14 pts / match - Vancouver FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HFX Wanderers FC - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vancouver FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HFX Wanderers FC
Vancouver FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| HFX Wanderers FC | Liga | Vancouver FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.39 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 43% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 46% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 82% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): HFX Wanderers FC 3 - 0 - 2 Vancouver FC. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished HFX Wanderers FC 1:0 Vancouver FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HFX Wanderers FC and Vancouver FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HFX Wanderers FC won 3, Vancouver FC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC?
HFX Wanderers FC score 1.14 goals per game on average and Vancouver FC 0.71. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 71% of HFX Wanderers FC's matches and 43% of Vancouver FC's.
What form are HFX Wanderers FC and Vancouver FC in?
Over the last 5 games HFX Wanderers FC have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Vancouver FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HFX Wanderers FC vs Vancouver FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.