Hibernian vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hibernian played Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Hibernian: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Celtic: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hibernian scores 1.64 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Celtic scores 1.75 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hibernian 50%, Celtic 25%. Over 2.5: Hibernian 57%, Celtic 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 1.99 vs 1.54. Hibernian: 13.1 shots per match, Celtic: 17.3.

Match halves

Hibernian: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79. Celtic: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.

Goals by minute

Hibernian: 16-30 (7 goals). Celtic: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
HibernianCeltic
9Shots6
HibernianCeltic
4Shots on target2
HibernianCeltic
1.17xG0.77
HibernianCeltic
4Corners3
HibernianCeltic
44Dangerous attacks34
HibernianCeltic
9Fouls18
HibernianCeltic
3Cards3
HibernianCeltic

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.64Goals scored / match1.75
HibernianCeltic
1.14Goals conceded / match0.67
HibernianCeltic
49%Average possession71%
HibernianCeltic
5.29Shots on target / match5.58
HibernianCeltic

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.14Shots per match17.33
HibernianCeltic
5.29Shots on target5.58
HibernianCeltic
12.5%Shot conversion10.1%
HibernianCeltic
49%Possession71%
HibernianCeltic
1.54xG for1.99
HibernianCeltic
1.34xG against0.86
HibernianCeltic

Shooting quality

Hibernian: BalancedCeltic: Dominant
HibernianCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)40%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Celtic is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Hibernian · 1.8 pts / match - Celtic

Hibernian
LDWWL
Season result split
36% W43% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-3
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Celtic
LLWWW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-2-2
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - Hibernian · 1.75 goals / match - Celtic

Celtic is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Hibernian · 0.67 goals / match - Celtic

Hibernian scoring profile: mixed

Hibernian scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).

Celtic scoring profile: very strong

Celtic scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

23Goals scored (season)21
HibernianCeltic
16Goals conceded (season)8
HibernianCeltic
2.79Average goals in match2.42
HibernianCeltic
7Goals scored (last 5)10
HibernianCeltic
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
HibernianCeltic

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal75%
HibernianCeltic
64%2 goals50%
HibernianCeltic
21%3 goals33%
HibernianCeltic
7%4 goals17%
HibernianCeltic

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal33%
HibernianCeltic
36%2 goals25%
HibernianCeltic
7%3 goals8%
HibernianCeltic
0%4 goals0%
HibernianCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time17%
HibernianCeltic
14%BTTS in both halves8%
HibernianCeltic
43%Scored in both halves33%
HibernianCeltic

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
HibernianCeltic
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
HibernianCeltic
20%BTTS - last 520%
HibernianCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
HibernianCeltic
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
HibernianCeltic
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HibernianCeltic

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
HibernianCeltic
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
HibernianCeltic
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
HibernianCeltic

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hibernian is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.79 pts / match - Hibernian · 1.42 pts / match - Celtic

Hibernian - half-time state
50% leading29% draw21% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
25% leading67% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.79Points per match (1st half)1.42
HibernianCeltic
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.5
HibernianCeltic
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
HibernianCeltic
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.83
HibernianCeltic
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
HibernianCeltic
36%No goal before half-time58%
HibernianCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)2.25
HibernianCeltic
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)1.25
HibernianCeltic
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
HibernianCeltic
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.58
HibernianCeltic
50%Clean sheet after half-time75%
HibernianCeltic
50%No goal after half-time33%
HibernianCeltic

Hibernian - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
25
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding72%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - second-half results

67% W25% D8% L
17
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding268%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hibernian - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hibernian
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
7
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
5
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
4
0
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hibernian

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

HibernianLigaCeltic
Average goals in match 2.792.66 2.42
Both teams scored 50%52% 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%52% 50%
Clean sheets 29%28% 67%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 50%
Goal after half-time 71%81% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CelticYellow cardColby Donovan
  2. CelticGoalDaizen MaedaAssist: Reo Hatate
  3. CelticGoalArne EngelsAssist: Hyun-Jun Yang
  4. HibernianYellow cardJamie McGrath
  5. HibernianYellow cardMiguel Changa Chaiwa
  6. HibernianSubstitutionOn: Jack Henry Stewart IredaleOff: Nicholas Cadden
  7. CelticSubstitutionOn: Anthony RalstonOff: Colby Donovan
  8. CelticYellow cardLiam Scales
  9. HibernianGoalMartin Boyle
  10. CelticYellow cardKasper Schmeichel
  11. HibernianYellow cardJordan John Obita
  12. HibernianSubstitutionOn: Josh CampbellOff: Jordan John Obita
  13. CelticSubstitutionOn: Sebastian TounektiOff: Hyun-Jun Yang

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Nick WalshMatches officiated: 23
4.35Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 261%Home wins22%Draws17%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Hibernian 0 - 1 - 0 Celtic. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Celtic FC
0 : 0
Hibernian FC

FAQ

What was the result of Hibernian vs Celtic?

The Premiership match finished Hibernian 1:2 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian score 1.64 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.75. The Premiership average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Hibernian's matches and 25% of Celtic's.

What form are Hibernian and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games Hibernian have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Celtic 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernian vs Celtic?

The statistical background for Hibernian vs Celtic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.