Hibernian vs Dundee United: match statistics
Hibernian demonstrates decidedly better home form with a 42% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match while conceding just 1, which, combined with a clean sheet rate of 42%, gives them a solid advantage. Dundee United performs significantly worse in away matches – a mere 18% wins, a high FTS% (27%), and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors concede an average of 1.73 goals away and have only 9% clean sheets, which, given their poor recent form (3 losses in the last 5 matches), makes them a clear outsider. xG statistics (1.75 for Hibernian vs 1.25 for Dundee United) as well as the advantage in possession and shots on target further support the prediction of a home victory.
Hibernian vs Dundee United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hibernian played Dundee United in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 4 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Hibernian: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Dundee United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hibernian scores 1.58 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Dundee United scores 1.22 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hibernian 54%, Dundee United 57%. Over 2.5: Hibernian 54%, Dundee United 48%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernian has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. Hibernian: 13.4 shots per match, Dundee United: 12.5.
Match halves
Hibernian: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.83. Dundee United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Hibernian: 46-60 (9 goals). Dundee United: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian demonstrates decidedly better home form with a 42% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.83 goals per home match while conceding just 1, which, combined with a clean sheet rate of 42%, gives them a solid advantage. Dundee United performs significantly worse in away matches – a mere 18% wins, a high FTS% (27%), and a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors concede an average of 1.73 goals away and have only 9% clean sheets, which, given their poor recent form (3 losses in the last 5 matches), makes them a clear outsider. xG statistics (1.75 for Hibernian vs 1.25 for Dundee United) as well as the advantage in possession and shots on target further support the prediction of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hibernian | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hibernian is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hibernian · 0.8 pts / match - Dundee United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernian is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Hibernian · 1.22 goals / match - Dundee United
Hibernian is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Hibernian · 1.61 goals / match - Dundee United
Hibernian scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Dundee United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Dundee United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hibernian
Over / Under - Dundee United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernian is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Hibernian · 1.13 pts / match - Dundee United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dundee United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hibernian
Dundee United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Hibernian | Liga | Dundee United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 96% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hibernian 0 - 2 - 0 Dundee United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hibernian vs Dundee United?
The Premiership match finished Hibernian 3:2 Dundee United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Dundee United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hibernian won 0, Dundee United won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hibernian vs Dundee United?
Hibernian score 1.58 goals per game on average and Dundee United 1.22. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Hibernian's matches and 57% of Dundee United's.
What form are Hibernian and Dundee United in?
Over the last 5 games Hibernian have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Dundee United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernian vs Dundee United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.