Hibernians vs Mosta: match statistics
Hibernians clearly dominate this matchup, demonstrating significantly better form and statistics. The hosts have secured 6 wins this season with a goal difference of 29:23, while Mosta has only 3 wins and an unfavorable record of 18:26. In the last 5 matches, Hibernians have recorded an excellent run with 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per match), whereas the visitors haven't won once, earning just 0.4 points per match. The key factor is the hosts' advantage in home matches: a 50% win rate, averaging 2.2 goals per match, and a positive goal difference of +7. Mosta shows very poor form on the road with 71% losses, averaging just 0.57 goals scored per match, and failing to score in 43% of matches. xG statistics also favor Hibernians, who create better scoring opportunities in home matches than Mosta does away.
Hibernians vs Mosta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hibernians played Mosta in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Hibernians: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Mosta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hibernians scores 1.93 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Mosta scores 1.20 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hibernians 67%, Mosta 53%. Over 2.5: Hibernians 60%, Mosta 47%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernians has higher xG: 1.10 vs 1.01. Hibernians: 6.4 shots per match, Mosta: 6.3.
Match halves
Hibernians: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.20. Mosta: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Hibernians: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mosta: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Maltese Premier League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernians clearly dominate this matchup, demonstrating significantly better form and statistics. The hosts have secured 6 wins this season with a goal difference of 29:23, while Mosta has only 3 wins and an unfavorable record of 18:26. In the last 5 matches, Hibernians have recorded an excellent run with 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 points per match), whereas the visitors haven't won once, earning just 0.4 points per match. The key factor is the hosts' advantage in home matches: a 50% win rate, averaging 2.2 goals per match, and a positive goal difference of +7. Mosta shows very poor form on the road with 71% losses, averaging just 0.57 goals scored per match, and failing to score in 43% of matches. xG statistics also favor Hibernians, who create better scoring opportunities in home matches than Mosta does away.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hibernians | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hibernians is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Hibernians · 1 pts / match - Mosta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernians is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Hibernians · 1.2 goals / match - Mosta
Hibernians is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hibernians · 1.73 goals / match - Mosta
Hibernians scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Mosta keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
Mosta scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hibernians
Over / Under - Mosta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernians is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Hibernians · 1 pts / match - Mosta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hibernians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mosta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hibernians
Mosta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hibernians | Liga | Mosta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 72% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 72% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hibernians 0 - 1 - 0 Mosta. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hibernians vs Mosta?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Hibernians 0:2 Mosta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hibernians vs Mosta?
Hibernians score 1.93 goals per game on average and Mosta 1.20. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Hibernians's matches and 53% of Mosta's.
What form are Hibernians and Mosta in?
Over the last 5 games Hibernians have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Mosta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hibernians vs Mosta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.