Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with an edge for a draw. Hillerød shows solid home form (50% wins), but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game, signaling a drop in form. Aarhus Fremad displays an impressive unbeaten run in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), along with an advantage in possession (57%) and xG in away matches (1.77). However, the visitors win only 20% of their away matches, drawing in as many as 50% of cases. Considering the hosts' higher efficiency in front of their home crowd and the visitors' good form but their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hillerød played Aarhus Fremad in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hillerød: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Aarhus Fremad: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hillerød scores 1.52 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Aarhus Fremad scores 1.52 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hillerød 76%, Aarhus Fremad 57%. Over 2.5: Hillerød 67%, Aarhus Fremad 52%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Aarhus Fremad has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.44. Hillerød: 12.1 shots per match, Aarhus Fremad: 13.9.
Match halves
Hillerød: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.67. Aarhus Fremad: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Hillerød: 16-30 (7 goals). Aarhus Fremad: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with an edge for a draw. Hillerød shows solid home form (50% wins), but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1 point per game, signaling a drop in form. Aarhus Fremad displays an impressive unbeaten run in their last five matches (1.8 PPG), along with an advantage in possession (57%) and xG in away matches (1.77). However, the visitors win only 20% of their away matches, drawing in as many as 50% of cases. Considering the hosts' higher efficiency in front of their home crowd and the visitors' good form but their tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aarhus Fremad is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.8 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aarhus Fremad is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.24 goals / match - Aarhus Fremad
Hillerød scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Aarhus Fremad keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Aarhus Fremad scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Aarhus Fremad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hillerød is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.1 pts / match - Aarhus Fremad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Aarhus Fremad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hillerød
Aarhus Fremad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.75 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hillerød 0 - 0 - 1 Aarhus Fremad. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 1:0 Aarhus Fremad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
Hillerød score 1.52 goals per game on average and Aarhus Fremad 1.52. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Hillerød's matches and 57% of Aarhus Fremad's.
What form are Hillerød and Aarhus Fremad in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Aarhus Fremad 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.