Hillerød vs Kolding IF: match statistics
Hillerød vs Kolding IF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hillerød played Kolding IF in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Hillerød: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Kolding IF: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hillerød scores 1.35 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Kolding IF scores 1.23 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hillerød 69%, Kolding IF 54%. Over 2.5: Hillerød 58%, Kolding IF 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Kolding IF has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.38. Hillerød: 11.6 shots per match, Kolding IF: 13.0.
Match halves
Hillerød: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.65. Kolding IF: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Hillerød: 16-30 (7 goals). Kolding IF: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hillerød holds a slight edge heading into this match: they sit 3rd and have scored 35 goals this season versus Kolding’s 32, and boast a +4 goal differential at home. Home advantage is evident in the numbers — Hillerød have won 46% of their home games, while Kolding win just 23% of their away fixtures. Home sides concede on average 1.00 goal for Hillerød compared to 1.31 conceded by Kolding on the road. In the last 5 matches Hillerød have scored only 3 goals and recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (6 points, 1.2 pts/game), whereas Kolding have scored 6 goals but have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (4 points, 0.8 pts/game) and have conceded 7 goals. Scoring chances are comparable (xG 1.42 for Hillerød vs 1.38 for Kolding) and shots per game are nearly equal (11.46 vs 11.85), but the home side register more shots on target (5.0 vs 4.08), boosting their offensive efficiency. Considering better recent defense (4 conceded by Hillerød vs 7 by Kolding), a higher home win rate and the advantage in shots on target, I forecast a Hillerød victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 54% (Hillerød 54%, Kolding IF 54%), while the league average BTTS is 56%, giving a baseline BTTS probability around 55-56%. In the last 5 matches Hillerød shows BTTS 40% and scores on average 0.6 goals while conceding 0.8, whereas Kolding has BTTS 60% and in five matches scored on average 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4, indicating the visitors score more often. xG comparison shows Hillerød xG_for 1.6 versus Kolding xG_against 1.51, and Kolding xG_for 1.38 versus Hillerød xG_against 1.38, so expected goal values for both sides lie in the 1.3-1.6 range and favor at least one goal being scored. Additionally, average shots on target 4.38 vs 4.08, conversion rates 9%/10% and the fact that each team has only 31% of matches with a clean sheet confirm there are enough chances for both teams to score. Taking these figures into account (seasonal 54-56%, recent xG and scoring form, e.g. Kolding last 5 matches xG_for 1.81 and 6 goals), I predict BTTS - Yes with probability 62% versus 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on xG and seasonal coefficients: the home side’s projected xG is 1.56 (calculated from xG_for_home 1.60 and xG_against_away 1.51), and the away side’s xG is 1.38 (xG_for_away 1.38 and xG_against_home 1.38), yielding a total of 2.94 expected goals. Seasonal data show Over 1.5 occurs frequently — 62% of Hillerød’s matches and 77% of Kolding’s matches (average ~70%) — so the gap between the projected 2.94 goals and the 1.5 threshold is significant. The 2.5 line is more balanced: seasonal Over 2.5 is 46% for the home team and 54% for the away team, and the league average is 2.78 goals per game; additionally, in the last 5 matches the away side has 60% Over 2.5 versus 20% for the home side, which nudges me slightly toward Over 2.5. The 3.5 line is unlikely — only 23% Over 3.5 seasonally for both teams, and the projected 2.94 goals is below 3.5, so Under 3.5 looks secure. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (estimated 85% probability), therefore I recommend backing Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hillerød are the favorites in this match: at home they average 1.62 points per game versus Kolding’s 1.0, they won 46% of matches (Kolding only 23%), and the goals average is 1.31 for Hillerød compared to 1.15 for the visitors. The home advantage is also supported by xG and shooting statistics — Hillerød have xG_for 1.6 versus Kolding’s 1.38, they average 14 shots with 4.38 on target, while Kolding record 11.85 shots and 4.08 on target. However, a draw at the break is more likely: Hillerød had a half-time draw in 5 of their last 5 matches (100% in the last 5), seasonally half-time draws for the home side occur in 38% of cases, and both teams score in the first half in only 8% of matches. In the second half Hillerød exert a stronger influence on the result — average points gained after the break are 1.46 for the home side vs 1.08 for the away side — and the overall xG and shot superiority increases the hosts’ chance of scoring the decisive goal after the break. As a result the most reliable scenario appears to be a draw at half-time and a Hillerød victory at full-time, therefore I select HT/FT 'X/1' as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hillerød | Kolding IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hillerød is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hillerød · 0.8 pts / match - Kolding IF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hillerød is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.23 goals / match - Kolding IF
Kolding IF is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Hillerød · 1.15 goals / match - Kolding IF
Hillerød scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Kolding IF keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Kolding IF scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Hillerød keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hillerød
Over / Under - Kolding IF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kolding IF is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Hillerød · 1.46 pts / match - Kolding IF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hillerød - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kolding IF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hillerød
Kolding IF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hillerød | Liga | Kolding IF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Hillerød 0 - 2 - 0 Kolding IF. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hillerød vs Kolding IF?
The 1st Division match finished Hillerød 2:0 Kolding IF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Hillerød and Kolding IF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 0, Kolding IF won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Hillerød vs Kolding IF?
Hillerød score 1.35 goals per game on average and Kolding IF 1.23. The 1st Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Hillerød's matches and 54% of Kolding IF's.
What form are Hillerød and Kolding IF in?
Over the last 5 games Hillerød have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kolding IF 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hillerød vs Kolding IF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.