Hirnyk vs Karpaty: match statistics
Hirnyk vs Karpaty: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hirnyk play Karpaty in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hirnyk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Karpaty: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hirnyk scores 1.77 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Karpaty scores 1.33 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hirnyk 60%, Karpaty 37%. Over 2.5: Hirnyk 67%, Karpaty 40%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Karpaty has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.50. Hirnyk: 12.9 shots per match, Karpaty: 13.6.
Match halves
Hirnyk: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.73. Karpaty: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Hirnyk: 31-45+ (12 goals). Karpaty: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Karpaty emerge as favorites based on form and defensive solidity: over the last 5 matches they averaged 2.2 points and kept 5 clean sheets (0 goals conceded in the last 5), and away they concede only 0.77 goals per game with a 62% clean sheet rate. Hirnyk possess a strong home attack — 46 goals in the season and 13 goals in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.15 goals per home game with xG 1.63, 13.54 shots per game and a 16% conversion rate. However, the hosts are weaker defensively: at home they concede 1.46 goals per game on average and shipped 13 goals in their last five matches, while Karpaty scored 6 and conceded none in the same period. The quality of created chances is comparable (home xG 1.63 vs away 1.47 and 5.69 vs 5.31 shots on target), so Karpaty’s advantage stems mainly from superior defensive organization and more frequent clean sheets. Considering form (Karpaty: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5; Hirnyk: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and defensive metrics, I forecast a narrow away win or draw, with a slight edge for Karpaty.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hirnyk | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hirnyk is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hirnyk · 1 pts / match - Karpaty
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hirnyk is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Hirnyk · 1.33 goals / match - Karpaty
Karpaty is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hirnyk · 1.03 goals / match - Karpaty
Hirnyk scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Karpaty keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
Karpaty scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hirnyk
Over / Under — Karpaty
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hirnyk is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Hirnyk · 1.37 pts / match - Karpaty
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karpaty - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hirnyk
Karpaty
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hirnyk | Liga | Karpaty | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 43% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hirnyk 0 - 0 - 1 Karpaty. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hirnyk vs Karpaty?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Hirnyk 1:0 Karpaty. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hirnyk vs Karpaty?
Hirnyk score 1.77 goals per game on average and Karpaty 1.33. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Hirnyk's matches and 37% of Karpaty's.
What form are Hirnyk and Karpaty in?
Over the last 5 games Hirnyk have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Karpaty 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hirnyk vs Karpaty?
The statistical background for Hirnyk vs Karpaty — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.