Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk: match statistics
Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hirnyk play Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukrainian Premier League (Ukraine). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Hirnyk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shakhtar Donetsk: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hirnyk scores 1.77 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Shakhtar Donetsk scores 2.37 and concedes 0.70. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hirnyk 60%, Shakhtar Donetsk 40%. Over 2.5: Hirnyk 67%, Shakhtar Donetsk 60%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Shakhtar Donetsk has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.50. Hirnyk: 12.9 shots per match, Shakhtar Donetsk: 15.8.
Match halves
Hirnyk: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.73. Shakhtar Donetsk: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.43.
Goals by minute
Hirnyk: 31-45+ (12 goals). Shakhtar Donetsk: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ukrainian Premier League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Shakhtar Donetsk are clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table with 21 wins, 6 draws and only 1 loss this season, and are unbeaten away (0% losses). Quality-of-chances metrics favor them — Shakhtar averages 1.89 xG on the road versus Hirnyk’s 1.63 xG at home, registers more shots (16.29 vs 13.43) and controls 68% possession compared to the hosts’ 48%. Defensively the visitors are significantly stronger: they concede 0.64 goals away vs 1.36 conceded by the hosts at home and have 57% of matches with a clean sheet vs Hirnyk’s 29%. Hirnyk, however, has an in-form attack — 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 per game) versus Shakhtar’s 11 goals (2.2 per game) — but the hosts have conceded 10 goals in that period. Considering season-long numbers (68 goals for Shakhtar vs 50 for Hirnyk), superior chance quality and defensive stability, I tip an away win; estimated probabilities: 55% Shakhtar, 25% draw, 20% Hirnyk.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hirnyk | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hirnyk · 2.4 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.77 goals / match - Hirnyk · 2.37 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Hirnyk · 0.7 goals / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Hirnyk scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Shakhtar Donetsk keeps a clean sheet in 57% (17 of 30 matches).
Shakhtar Donetsk scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Hirnyk keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Hirnyk
Over / Under — Shakhtar Donetsk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shakhtar Donetsk is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.87 pts / match - Hirnyk · 1.97 pts / match - Shakhtar Donetsk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hirnyk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 43%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shakhtar Donetsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hirnyk
Shakhtar Donetsk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ukrainian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Hirnyk | Liga | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 43% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 33% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hirnyk 0 - 1 - 0 Shakhtar Donetsk. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The Ukrainian Premier League match finished Hirnyk 2:3 Shakhtar Donetsk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Hirnyk score 1.77 goals per game on average and Shakhtar Donetsk 2.37. The Ukrainian Premier League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Hirnyk's matches and 40% of Shakhtar Donetsk's.
What form are Hirnyk and Shakhtar Donetsk in?
Over the last 5 games Hirnyk have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shakhtar Donetsk 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The statistical background for Hirnyk vs Shakhtar Donetsk — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.