Finland - VeikkausliigaBolt ArenaData current as of 15 October 2026

HJK vs Gnistan: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HJK vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HJK play Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena.

Current form

HJK: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Gnistan: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

HJK scores 1.81 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Gnistan scores 1.48 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HJK 44%, Gnistan 56%. Over 2.5: HJK 59%, Gnistan 41%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.49. HJK: 13.9 shots per match, Gnistan: 13.3.

Match halves

HJK: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00. Gnistan: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

HJK: 31-45+ (10 goals). Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-3. Average goals 3.71, BTTS 71%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.48)
(4.40)
(5.32)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.81Goals scored / match1.48
HJKGnistan
1.19Goals conceded / match1.22
HJKGnistan
54%Average possession42%
HJKGnistan
4.74Shots on target / match4.41
HJKGnistan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.93Shots per match13.26
HJKGnistan
4.74Shots on target4.41
HJKGnistan
13%Shot conversion11.2%
HJKGnistan
54%Possession42%
HJKGnistan
1.61xG for1.49
HJKGnistan
1.36xG against1.56
HJKGnistan

Shooting quality

HJK: Efficient finishingGnistan: Balanced
HJKGnistan
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK is 83% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - HJK · 1.2 pts / match - Gnistan

HJK
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
52% W22% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-7
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Gnistan
DWDDL
Season result split
41% W33% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-7
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.81 goals / match - HJK · 1.48 goals / match - Gnistan

HJK scoring profile: very strong

HJK scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).

Gnistan scoring profile: strong

Gnistan scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).

49Goals scored (season)40
HJKGnistan
32Goals conceded (season)33
HJKGnistan
3Average goals in match2.7
HJKGnistan
13Goals scored (last 5)4
HJKGnistan
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
HJKGnistan

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal74%
HJKGnistan
48%2 goals41%
HJKGnistan
30%3 goals22%
HJKGnistan
15%4 goals7%
HJKGnistan

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal78%
HJKGnistan
33%2 goals30%
HJKGnistan
19%3 goals7%
HJKGnistan
4%4 goals4%
HJKGnistan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time22%
HJKGnistan
7%BTTS in both halves4%
HJKGnistan
37%Scored in both halves26%
HJKGnistan

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
HJKGnistan
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
HJKGnistan
60%BTTS - last 560%
HJKGnistan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
HJKGnistan
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
HJKGnistan
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
HJKGnistan

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
HJKGnistan
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
HJKGnistan
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
HJKGnistan

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - HJK · 1.3 pts / match - Gnistan

HJK - half-time state
44% leading30% draw26% trailing
Gnistan - half-time state
30% leading41% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.3
HJKGnistan
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.63
HJKGnistan
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
HJKGnistan
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.22
HJKGnistan
63%Clean sheet before half-time52%
HJKGnistan
37%No goal before half-time52%
HJKGnistan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.59
HJKGnistan
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
HJKGnistan
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
HJKGnistan
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.48
HJKGnistan
59%Clean sheet after half-time52%
HJKGnistan
48%No goal after half-time48%
HJKGnistan

HJK - second-half results

41% W33% D26% L
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gnistan - second-half results

44% W26% D30% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding137%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HJK
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
10
4
31-45
8
7
46-60
10
7
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
9
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
114%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

HJKLigaGnistan
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.49▲ 2.70
Both teams scored▼ 44%48%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 59%43%▼ 41%
Clean sheets▲ 37%30%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%72%▲ 74%
Goal after half-time▲ 74%72%▲ 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (7): HJK 2 - 2 - 3 Gnistan. Average goals 3.71, both teams scored in 71% matches.

Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
Gnistan
0 : 3
HJK
IF Gnistan
2 : 2
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
2 : 3
IF Gnistan
IF Gnistan
2 : 4
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
0 : 1
IF Gnistan

FAQ

When do HJK and Gnistan play?

HJK face Gnistan on 17 October 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Bolt Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Gnistan?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Gnistan won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Gnistan?

HJK score 1.81 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.48. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 44% of HJK's matches and 56% of Gnistan's.

What form are HJK and Gnistan in?

Over the last 5 games HJK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Gnistan 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Gnistan?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for HJK vs Gnistan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.