HJK vs Inter Turku: match statistics
HJK vs Inter Turku: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HJK played Inter Turku in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 17 June 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
HJK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Inter Turku: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
HJK scores 1.64 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Inter Turku scores 1.42 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HJK 45%, Inter Turku 50%. Over 2.5: HJK 45%, Inter Turku 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Turku has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.51. HJK: 13.0 shots per match, Inter Turku: 13.2.
Match halves
HJK: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00. Inter Turku: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
HJK: 46-60 (5 goals). Inter Turku: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-4-1. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 80%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK holds a clear home advantage: in the last 5 matches they scored 25 goals (5.0 per game) and average 2.4 points per match in that period, while conceding only 0.6 goals at their ground with a 60% clean sheet rate. Inter Turku, despite being top of the table (position 1) and scoring 1.8 goals per away game with a high conversion rate of 19%, concedes 1.0 goal on average away and has only 20% clean sheets on the road. HJK creates more chances (14.2 shots and 4.4 on target at home on average) and has a higher home xG (1.68) than Inter’s average away xG conceded (1.15), which indicates a home advantage in the quality of created chances despite a lower conversion (10% vs 19%). Both teams are in good form (HJK 4 wins from 5, Inter 3 wins and 2 draws), but HJK’s defensive profile (0.6 goals conceded at home and 60% clean sheets) together with the recent goal explosion favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes with a 70% probability versus 30% for No Goal. Strong support for BTTS comes from both teams registering BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, with HJK scoring 25 goals in those 5 games (avg. 5.0) while Inter scored 7 goals (avg. 1.4). Additionally, xG implies a combined expected goals total of ~3.10 (1.87 for HJK vs 1.23 for Inter), clearly above the league average of 2.47 and favoring goal exchange. HJK averages 15.71 shots and 5.57 on target per game, Inter 9.6 and 4.0, with shot conversion 19% for Inter versus 7% for HJK. The counterargument is HJK’s high home clean sheet rate of 57% and their season average conceded goals of 0.43 per game, which traditionally limits visitors, but in the last 5 matches HJK has conceded 1.2 goals per game, indicating defensive instability. Given the strong recent BTTS trend (80% mutual), elevated xG (3.10) and Inter’s finishing efficiency, the BTTS scenario appears more likely (70%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis yields a combined total around 2.50: HJK has xG_for 1.87 versus Inter's xG_against 1.15 (implying 1.51 expected goals for the home side), while Inter has xG_for 1.23 against HJK's xG_against 0.75 (0.99 for the away team). In the last 5 matches HJK scored 25 goals (5.0 avg, xG 2.35), and Inter 7 goals (1.4 avg, xG 1.87), which increases the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture. Seasonally HJK have 57% of home games over 1.5 and 29% over 2.5, whereas Inter have 100% of games over 1.5 and 40% over 2.5, so the signal for Over 1.5 is strongest and Over 2.5 moderate. Although HJK record 57% clean sheets at home and concede on average 0.43 goals, Inter have a high conversion rate of 19% and 60% of matches with Both Teams to Score, which boosts the chance of an away goal. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the optimal line; Over 3.5 remains unlikely (HJK 0% of season matches >3.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HJK has a clear advantage in chance creation: average xG 1.87 versus Inter’s 1.23, on average 15.71 shots versus 9.6 and 5.57 shots on target versus 4.0, which increases the hosts’ likelihood to take the lead. HJK’s home defence is very compact — they concede only 0.43 goals per game on the season and keep a clean sheet in 57% of matches, while Inter concedes 1.0 goal per game despite higher finishing efficiency (conversion 19% versus 7%). In their last five matches HJK led at the break in 60% of games and won 80% of those, scoring an average of 2.4 goals before half-time, which strongly supports the hosts leading at Half-Time. Inter are a second-half threat (on average 1.6 goals in the second half and scoring in 100% of matches after the break), but HJK have historically not conceded second-half goals at home (0.0 conceded and 100% second-half clean sheets), so the most likely scenario is HJK leading at the break and holding on for the win (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Inter Turku | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Inter Turku is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - HJK · 2.2 pts / match - Inter Turku
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - HJK · 1.42 goals / match - Inter Turku
Inter Turku is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - HJK · 0.67 goals / match - Inter Turku
HJK scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Inter Turku keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
Inter Turku scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - Inter Turku
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inter Turku - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HJK
Inter Turku
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Inter Turku | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): HJK 0 - 4 - 1 Inter Turku. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Inter Turku?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 3:3 Inter Turku. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Inter Turku?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches HJK won 0, Inter Turku won 1 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Inter Turku?
HJK score 1.64 goals per game on average and Inter Turku 1.42. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 45% of HJK's matches and 50% of Inter Turku's.
What form are HJK and Inter Turku in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Inter Turku 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Inter Turku?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.