Finland - VeikkausliigaBolt ArenaData current as of 13 August 2026

HJK vs Jaro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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HJK vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

HJK play Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena.

Current form

HJK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Jaro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

HJK scores 1.53 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Jaro scores 0.95 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.58 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: HJK 37%, Jaro 53%. Over 2.5: HJK 53%, Jaro 58%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

HJK has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. HJK: 13.1 shots per match, Jaro: 11.8.

Match halves

HJK: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89. Jaro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.26.

Goals by minute

HJK: 31-45+ (7 goals). Jaro: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.28)
(5.80)
(8.75)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match0.95
HJKJaro
1.21Goals conceded / match2
HJKJaro
53%Average possession45%
HJKJaro
4.58Shots on target / match4.21
HJKJaro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.05Shots per match11.79
HJKJaro
4.58Shots on target4.21
HJKJaro
11.7%Shot conversion8%
HJKJaro
53%Possession45%
HJKJaro
1.54xG for1.4
HJKJaro
1.39xG against1.74
HJKJaro

Shooting quality

HJK: BalancedJaro: Balanced
HJKJaro
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

HJK is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - HJK · 1.4 pts / match - Jaro

HJK
LWWLW
Season result split
47% W21% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-6
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Jaro
WDWLL
Season result split
16% W32% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-10
0.79 pts / match · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-7
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 2.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

HJK is 61% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - HJK · 0.95 goals / match - Jaro

HJK is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - HJK · 2 goals / match - Jaro

HJK scoring profile: very strong

HJK scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).

Jaro scoring profile: mixed

Jaro scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).

29Goals scored (season)18
HJKJaro
23Goals conceded (season)38
HJKJaro
2.74Average goals in match2.95
HJKJaro
4Goals scored (last 5)5
HJKJaro
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
HJKJaro

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal58%
HJKJaro
37%2 goals32%
HJKJaro
26%3 goals5%
HJKJaro
11%4 goals0%
HJKJaro

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal84%
HJKJaro
37%2 goals53%
HJKJaro
16%3 goals32%
HJKJaro
5%4 goals16%
HJKJaro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
HJKJaro
11%BTTS in both halves5%
HJKJaro
37%Scored in both halves16%
HJKJaro

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
HJKJaro
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
HJKJaro
20%BTTS - last 560%
HJKJaro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
HJKJaro
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
HJKJaro
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
HJKJaro

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
HJKJaro
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
HJKJaro
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
HJKJaro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

HJK is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - HJK · 1.32 pts / match - Jaro

HJK - half-time state
42% leading26% draw32% trailing
Jaro - half-time state
37% leading21% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.32
HJKJaro
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.68
HJKJaro
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.84
HJKJaro
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.53
HJKJaro
58%Clean sheet before half-time42%
HJKJaro
37%No goal before half-time53%
HJKJaro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)0.63
HJKJaro
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.26
HJKJaro
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)1.16
HJKJaro
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.42
HJKJaro
58%Clean sheet after half-time32%
HJKJaro
53%No goal after half-time74%
HJKJaro

HJK - second-half results

37% W37% R26% P
29
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jaro - second-half results

11% W32% R58% P
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding43%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

HJK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Jaro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

HJK
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Jaro
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
5
31-45
3
8
46-60
1
5
61-75
1
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

HJK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Jaro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

HJKLigaJaro
Average goals in match 2.742.58 2.95
Both teams scored 37%49% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%46% 58%
Clean sheets 37%29% 16%
Goal before half-time 84%76% 84%
Goal after half-time 74%75% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): HJK 2 - 0 - 1 Jaro. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Jaro
2 : 5
HJK
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi
2 : 3
FF Jaro
FF Jaro
0 : 3
Helsingin Jalkapalloklubi

FAQ

When do HJK and Jaro play?

HJK face Jaro on 16 August 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Bolt Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Jaro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Jaro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Jaro?

HJK score 1.53 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.95. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of HJK's matches and 53% of Jaro's.

What form are HJK and Jaro in?

Over the last 5 games HJK have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Jaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Jaro?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.