HJK vs Jaro: match statistics
HJK vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HJK played Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Bolt Arena. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
HJK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Jaro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
HJK scores 1.53 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Jaro scores 0.95 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HJK 37%, Jaro 53%. Over 2.5: HJK 53%, Jaro 58%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
HJK has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.40. HJK: 13.1 shots per match, Jaro: 11.8.
Match halves
HJK: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.89. Jaro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
HJK: 31-45+ (7 goals). Jaro: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
HJK are clear favourites: they win 56% of their home matches, while Jaro are yet to win away from home and have lost 78% of their matches. The hosts average 1.44 goals and 4.67 shots on target per game at home, whereas Jaro score just 0.44 goals away and fail to score in 67% of their outings. The visitors’ defence concedes an average of 2.56 goals away from home, have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of matches, and have allowed chances worth an average xG of 1.75. HJK also come into the match in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 games and conceding just 4 goals in that run, while Jaro have an away goal difference of -19. The contrast between the teams’ home and away performances points to a controlled home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Jaro’s poor attacking consistency: the visitors score just 0.44 goals per match on average and failed to score in 67% of their games. Their season BTTS rate is only 33%, well below HJK’s 70% and the league average of 49%. HJK have improved defensively over their last five matches, conceding 0.8 goals per game with opponents’ xG limited to 0.99, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of those fixtures. The hosts should create chances against a Jaro defence conceding an average of 2.56 goals and allowing 1.75 xG, but the more likely scenario is that at least Jaro fail to score. The visitors’ last five appearances, with BTTS at 60%, increase the risk of a goal, but this does not offset their very low season scoring efficiency of 4% and an average of only 1.0 goal across that run.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
HJK should create more chances, averaging 4.9 shots on target per match, while Jaro concede as many as 2.56 goals per game. However, the visitors score just 0.44 goals per game on average this season and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, which clearly limits their contribution to a high-scoring game. HJK’s last five matches produced an average of 2.0 total goals, with the hosts conceding just 0.8 goals per match. The Under 3.5 line also receives additional support from seasonal trends: 70% of HJK’s matches and 67% of Jaro’s games finished below this line. HJK’s superiority could result in around 1.7 goals for the hosts, but Jaro’s poor finishing points towards a result staying within the three-goal range.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HJK have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 50% of their matches, averaging 1.0 goals before half-time while conceding just 0.6. Jaro have been trailing after 45 minutes in 56% of their games, with a very modest average of just 0.33 goals scored in this period and 1.11 conceded. Over the course of the season, the hosts average 1.40 goals per match, while Jaro score only 0.44, and the visitors have lost 78% of their games without recording a single win. Jaro continue to look very poor after the break, averaging just 0.11 goals scored while allowing opponents 1.44, which further strengthens HJK’s chances of maintaining their lead. HJK’s last five matches have produced a 60% win rate and a 4:0 half-time goal difference, making 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome: HJK to lead at half-time and win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HJK | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
HJK is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - HJK · 1.4 pts / match - Jaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HJK is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - HJK · 0.95 goals / match - Jaro
HJK is 65% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - HJK · 2 goals / match - Jaro
HJK scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Jaro scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while HJK keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HJK
Over / Under - Jaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HJK is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - HJK · 1.32 pts / match - Jaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HJK
Jaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| HJK | Liga | Jaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HJK 2 - 0 - 1 Jaro. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HJK vs Jaro?
The Veikkausliiga match finished HJK 3:0 Jaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HJK and Jaro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HJK won 2, Jaro won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HJK vs Jaro?
HJK score 1.53 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.95. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of HJK's matches and 53% of Jaro's.
What form are HJK and Jaro in?
Over the last 5 games HJK have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Jaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HJK vs Jaro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.