HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb: match statistics
HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HNK Vukovar 1991 played Dinamo Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
HNK Vukovar 1991: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Dinamo Zagreb: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores 0.96 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.68 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HNK Vukovar 1991 61%, Dinamo Zagreb 50%. Over 2.5: HNK Vukovar 1991 54%, Dinamo Zagreb 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.32. HNK Vukovar 1991: 9.8 shots per match, Dinamo Zagreb: 17.2.
Match halves
HNK Vukovar 1991: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.68. Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 1.46.
Goals by minute
HNK Vukovar 1991: 61-75 (8 goals). Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite based on the statistics: the visitors have scored 75 goals this season versus 27 by HNK Vukovar 1991, and in the last 5 matches Dinamo have scored 25 goals compared to just 1 by the hosts. Recent form confirms the edge — Vukovar have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 points per game, while Dinamo have won all 5 of their last matches, averaging 3 points per game. The defensive gap is significant: the hosts concede 1.64 goals on average at home with an average xG against of 1.75, whereas Dinamo concede 0.71 goals away with xG against 1.11. Offensively the visitors generate more quality chances — 16.36 shots and 5.5 on target per away match versus 10.64 shots and 4.21 on target for the hosts, with similar conversion rates (14% vs 13%). Considering the higher average attacking xG (1.96 vs 1.49), superior possession (56% vs 44%) and 57% of Dinamo’s matches kept as clean sheets versus 14% for the hosts, I expect a Dinamo win, although a small chance of a draw remains given Vukovar’s 43% home draw rate.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Dominant signals from recent matches point to No BTTS: HNK Vukovar 1991 has scored only 1 goal in the last 5 games (0.2 per game) while conceding 2.4 on average, whereas Dinamo has scored 25 goals in the same period (5.0 per game) and conceded 1.2. Seasonal numbers are mixed — Vukovar has a seasonal BTTS rate of 64% and averages 3.07 goals scored at home, while Dinamo has a seasonal BTTS of 36% and an impressive 57% clean sheets this season. xG over the last 5 matches confirms Dinamo’s superiority: Dinamo has xG_for 2.51 per game versus 1.19 for Vukovar, and the hosts have xG_against 1.8, suggesting Vukovar creates fewer clear chances and is defensively exposed. Additionally, Dinamo is on a 5-win streak while Vukovar’s form is 4 losses and 1 draw, so considering the hosts’ poor finishing and Dinamo’s solid defense, the match is more likely to finish with No Goal/No BTTS. I assess BTTS probability at 35% versus 65% for No BTTS, and the best pick based on the data is 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects approximately 3.07 total expected goals (xG: HNK Vukovar 1.65 vs Dinamo Zagreb 1.42), which favors the Over market. Both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals this season: Vukovar 100% and Dinamo 86%, so I rate Over 1.5 at about 95%. The 2.5 line also gives a strong signal for Over – Vukovar have 86% of seasonal matches over 2.5, Dinamo 57%, and Dinamo recorded 100% Over 2.5 in their last 5 matches and scored 25 goals, therefore I assign Over 2.5 a 75% probability. Over 3.5 is more uncertain: seasonal percentages are 50% for Vukovar and 36% for Dinamo (average ~43%), and after accounting for form (Vukovar conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches, Dinamo is on a 5-win streak) I assess Over 3.5 at 45% versus 55% for Under. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5, given Vukovar’s 100% Over 1.5 rate, Dinamo’s 86%, and the model’s expected 3.07 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts’ seasonal stats look strong — Vukovar averages 3.07 goals per match, wins 86% of home games and led at the break in 11 of 14 matches (79%) — yet their form over the last five is poor: record ’lllld’, averaging 0.2 goals per game and 0.0 goals at half-time with 2.4 conceded on average. Dinamo shows the opposite dynamic: five wins on the bounce (’wwwww’), averaging 5.0 goals in their last five matches and 2.2 goals at half-time while conceding 1.2 on average. Season-long xG difference is small (hosts xG 2.18 vs Dinamo 1.96) and the hosts attempt slightly more shots (avg. 18.0 and 7.43 on target vs 16.36 and 5.5), but recent results and Dinamo’s first-half efficiency (last5 leadingAtHT 60% vs 0% for the hosts and 2.2 vs 0.0 goals at the break) are decisive. On that basis the strongest signal is Dinamo to lead at the break and to win outright, hence the 2/2 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dinamo Zagreb is 1400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 3 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 179% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 2.68 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb is 139% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 0.79 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 93% of matches (26 of 28 matches), while HNK Vukovar 1991 keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HNK Vukovar 1991
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 262% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.61 pts / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 2.21 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HNK Vukovar 1991 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +8 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HNK Vukovar 1991
Dinamo Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HNK Vukovar 1991 1 - 0 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished HNK Vukovar 1991 1:4 Dinamo Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Vukovar 1991 and Dinamo Zagreb?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HNK Vukovar 1991 won 1, Dinamo Zagreb won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
HNK Vukovar 1991 score 0.96 goals per game on average and Dinamo Zagreb 2.68. The Prva HNL average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 61% of HNK Vukovar 1991's matches and 50% of Dinamo Zagreb's.
What form are HNK Vukovar 1991 and Dinamo Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games HNK Vukovar 1991 have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Dinamo Zagreb 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The statistical background for HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Dinamo Zagreb — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.