HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica: match statistics
HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
HNK Vukovar 1991 played Gorica in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
HNK Vukovar 1991: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Gorica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores 1.00 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. Gorica scores 1.13 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: HNK Vukovar 1991 63%, Gorica 53%. Over 2.5: HNK Vukovar 1991 57%, Gorica 47%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Gorica has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.31. HNK Vukovar 1991: 9.8 shots per match, Gorica: 11.1.
Match halves
HNK Vukovar 1991: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.70. Gorica: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
HNK Vukovar 1991: 61-75 (10 goals). Gorica: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match looks balanced, but HNK Vukovar 1991 holds a slight edge due to offensive efficiency — the hosts have scored 30 goals this season and average 1.33 goals per home match with 4.2 shots on target and a 13% conversion rate, while Gorica have 34 goals this season but average 1.00 goals away, 3.6 shots on target and a 9% conversion. Vukovar’s main weakness is defense: the hosts have conceded 58 goals this season and concede 1.8 goals per home match, whereas Gorica concede 1.4 goals away and 42 goals overall this season, giving the visitors a defensive advantage. The last five matches don’t provide a decisive trend — both teams have 1 win and average 0.8 points per match in that period, with goals in the last 5 being 5 for the hosts and 8 for the visitors. Additionally, Vukovar are less likely to finish a match without scoring (20% vs 40% for Gorica) and have a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.36), which increases the probability they will create chances and find the net. As a result, I give a slight lean to the hosts as favourites, but expect an open game and do not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% (Vukovar 53% and Gorica 53%), while the league BTTS is 55%, indicating a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. Vukovar’s BTTS in the last 5 matches is 60%, conceding on average 2.8 goals per game (14 goals conceded in 5 games), whereas Gorica’s last 5 BTTS is 40% and they concede 2.0 goals per game on average (10 goals conceded). Combined, this increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Additionally, Gorica allows a higher xG against — 1.74 versus 1.4 for Vukovar — and xG per game is 1.3 for Vukovar and 1.36 for Gorica, indicating comparable scoring potential. Gorica has only 13% clean sheets and 40% of matches without scoring, which reduces confidence in their BTTS participation, but Vukovar have conceded 58 goals this season and 14 in the last 5, which strongly favors the both-teams-to-score scenario. Based on the above figures I favor the “BTTS - Yes” outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculated expected goals are 1.52 for the home team and 1.38 for the away team (total 2.90), derived from home xG 1.30 and xG conceded by away 1.74, and away xG 1.36 and xG conceded by home 1.40. This total of 2.90 is above the league average of 2.74 and translates to approximately a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals (P(>=2) ≈ 78.5%). Both teams have season Over1.5 rates of 73% and BTTS of 53%. Additionally, the home side averages 10.6 shots with 3.73 on target and a 12% conversion rate versus the away side’s 11.67 shots, 3.6 on target and 9% conversion, which favors goal scoring. In the last 5 matches the home team scored 5 goals (1.0 avg) and conceded 14 (2.8 avg), while the away team scored 8 (1.6) and conceded 10 (2.0), supporting a multi-goal scenario. Based on this I recommend the over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (over 1.5 ≈ 79%), while over 2.5 is moderate (≈ 55%) and over 3.5 less likely (≈ 33%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict the most likely scenario is the home side leading at the break and winning by full-time (1/1). Hosts led at half-time in 40% of their matches this season, and their overall win rate is 33% versus the visitors’ 20%. On average the home team scores 0.67 goals by half-time compared to 0.6 for the away team, and more than 0.5 goals by half-time occurred in 87% of home games and 73% of away games, so goalless halves are uncommon. Home xG is 1.30 versus 1.36 for the visitors, but Gorica concedes 1.74 xG on average compared to Vukovar’s 1.40, and the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%), which increases the likelihood of turning chances into goals and maintaining a lead. Additionally, the hosts scored seven goals in minutes 76–90 versus three for the visitors and collect more points in second halves (12 vs 10, second-half points per game 0.80 vs 0.67), which raises the probability of holding on for the win; although in the last five matches the hosts were behind at half-time in 60% of games, the season-long half-time profiles and attacking efficiency favour selecting 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1 pts / match - Gorica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorica is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.13 goals / match - Gorica
Gorica is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.4 goals / match - Gorica
HNK Vukovar 1991 scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while HNK Vukovar 1991 keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - HNK Vukovar 1991
Over / Under - Gorica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorica is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - HNK Vukovar 1991 · 1.4 pts / match - Gorica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
HNK Vukovar 1991 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
HNK Vukovar 1991
Gorica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| HNK Vukovar 1991 | Liga | Gorica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): HNK Vukovar 1991 0 - 3 - 0 Gorica. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
The Prva HNL match finished HNK Vukovar 1991 1:2 Gorica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between HNK Vukovar 1991 and Gorica?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches HNK Vukovar 1991 won 0, Gorica won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
HNK Vukovar 1991 score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gorica 1.13. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 63% of HNK Vukovar 1991's matches and 53% of Gorica's.
What form are HNK Vukovar 1991 and Gorica in?
Over the last 5 games HNK Vukovar 1991 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Gorica 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Gorica?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.