HNK Vukovar 1991 vs Segesta Sisak: match statistics

Segesta Sisak sit 3rd, while HNK Vukovar 1991 are 7th, with the difference primarily reflected in their current form. The visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in the process—an average of 2.2 goals per game—whereas the hosts have suffered 3 defeats, scoring just 5 goals and conceding as many as 12. Vukovar’s defence allowed opponents an average of 2.4 goals across their last five matches, which clearly favours Segesta’s attacking efficiency. This season, Segesta opened with a 3:1 victory, while Vukovar drew 1:1, making an away win for the visitors the more likely outcome.

BTTS - Yes is supported by Vukovar’s very poor recent defensive record, having conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their previous five matches, with opponents posting an xG of 1.86. Segesta are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and scoring 11 goals during that run—an average of 2.2 per match—while BTTS landed in 80% of those games. The home side should also create chances, averaging 16 shots and 6 on target, with a season xG of 1.84. At the same time, Segesta have limited opponents to an xG of just 0.50 over their last five matches and conceded 1.2 goals per game, which reduces confidence in the pick. Nevertheless, the combination of the visitors’ attacking form and Vukovar’s defensive problems gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.

The last five-match record points to strong scoring potential: HNK Vukovar 1991 conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Segesta Sisak scored 2.2. Matches involving both teams produced the identical average of 3.4 goals during this period, with at least 3 goals scored in 80% of Segesta’s recent fixtures. Vukovar scored only 1.0 goal per game, but its earlier home data shows an average of 3.0 goals scored and 6.0 shots on target per match. In addition, the league averages 2.75 goals per game, and 63% of its matches go over the 2.5-goal line. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the hosts’ defensive weaknesses and the visitors’ current scoring form clearly increase the likelihood of at least two goals.

Segesta Sisak are showing clearly better recent form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Vukovar have won only 1 of 5 games and conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The visitors have been particularly strong in the opening stages, leading at the break in 50% of their last five appearances and never trailing, whereas the hosts were behind at half-time in 60% of their matches. Before the interval, Segesta average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Vukovar record averages of 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. After the break, the visitors still hold the advantage, averaging 1.25 goals compared with just 0.4 for the hosts. Therefore, the most likely scenario is Segesta leading at half-time and securing a full-time victory: 1/1.