Hobro vs HB Køge: match statistics
Hobro appears to have a slight advantage as the host in this match. Although their home record is not impressive (22% wins), HB Køge presents even weaker form on the road with just 11% of matches won and a catastrophic goal difference (-11). A key factor is that HB Køge has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per match. Hobro has shown signs of improvement in their last five overall matches with two victories and 1.2 points per match. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 1.26), suggesting Hobro creates slightly better scoring opportunities. Considering all statistics, a tight encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts is expected, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both teams.
Hobro vs HB Køge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hobro played HB Køge in 1st Division (Denmark). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hobro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. HB Køge: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hobro scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. HB Køge scores 1.22 and concedes 1.89. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hobro 44%, HB Køge 67%. Over 2.5: Hobro 39%, HB Køge 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
HB Køge has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.31. Hobro: 10.9 shots per match, HB Køge: 12.2.
Match halves
Hobro: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50. HB Køge: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Hobro: 16-30 (4 goals). HB Køge: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1st Division: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hobro appears to have a slight advantage as the host in this match. Although their home record is not impressive (22% wins), HB Køge presents even weaker form on the road with just 11% of matches won and a catastrophic goal difference (-11). A key factor is that HB Køge has not kept a single clean sheet away this season, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per match. Hobro has shown signs of improvement in their last five overall matches with two victories and 1.2 points per match. Expected goals (xG) also favor the hosts (1.38 vs 1.26), suggesting Hobro creates slightly better scoring opportunities. Considering all statistics, a tight encounter with a slight advantage for the hosts is expected, though a draw remains a realistic scenario due to the average form of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hobro | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hobro is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Hobro · 1 pts / match - HB Køge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
HB Køge is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Hobro · 1.22 goals / match - HB Køge
Hobro is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Hobro · 1.89 goals / match - HB Køge
Hobro scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while HB Køge keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
HB Køge scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hobro
Over / Under - HB Køge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
HB Køge is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Hobro · 1.17 pts / match - HB Køge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
HB Køge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hobro
HB Køge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Hobro | Liga | HB Køge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.56 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hobro 0 - 0 - 1 HB Køge. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hobro vs HB Køge?
The 1st Division match finished Hobro 1:1 HB Køge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hobro vs HB Køge?
Hobro score 1.00 goals per game on average and HB Køge 1.22. The 1st Division average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Hobro's matches and 67% of HB Køge's.
What form are Hobro and HB Køge in?
Over the last 5 games Hobro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and HB Køge 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hobro vs HB Køge?
The statistical background for Hobro vs HB Køge — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.