Hoffenheim II vs Meppen: match statistics

Hoffenheim II have a clear attacking advantage at home, averaging 3.00 goals per match compared with Meppen’s 1.33 away from home. The hosts also create more chances, averaging 16 shots and 5.67 on target versus 11.33 and 4.00 for the visitors, while their xG stands at 1.82 compared with the opponents’ 1.37. Meppen have lost 67% of their away matches and failed to score in 33% of them, which limits their chances of exploiting Hoffenheim II’s defensive weaknesses. The hosts are not flawless at the back either, conceding an average of 2.00 goals at home and keeping no clean sheets, so a goal for the visitors remains a realistic possibility. However, the advantage in possession (58% to 43%), shot efficiency (19% to 12%) and the quality of chances created all point towards a Hoffenheim II victory.

Hoffenheim II have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Meppen have conceded 2.2 goals per game during the same period, clearly supporting the hosts to find the net. The visitors have scored an average of 1.4 goals, while Hoffenheim II’s defence has allowed opponents 1.4 goals per match, giving Meppen solid grounds to respond. The attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures from the last five appearances: 1.55 for the hosts and 1.66 for the visitors, with Meppen conceding 1.70 xG and Hoffenheim II 1.52, respectively. BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of Hoffenheim II’s last five matches and 40% of Meppen’s, while both teams have weaker clean-sheet rates, particularly Meppen at 33%. Although Meppen’s season-long BTTS rate stands at just 33%, the current attacking and defensive form comparison gives a slight but sufficient edge to the Goal/Goal scenario.

Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal mark in 100% of their league matches so far, which is a very strong signal for at least two goals. In their last five matches, Hoffenheim II have averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Meppen have conceded as many as 2.2 per game, suggesting that the hosts should consistently create chances. Their attacking potential is supported by the chance-creation numbers: average xG stands at 1.55 for Hoffenheim II and 1.66 for Meppen, while the opponents have conceded 1.52 and 1.70 xG respectively. At home, the hosts average 18 shots, including 7.5 on target, compared with Meppen's 11.33 attempts and 4 shots on target, further supporting an open game. The Over 1.5 line offers the strongest edge, as even with lower finishing efficiency, the data from both teams clearly supports a minimum of two goals.

Meppen has the clearer first-half data: they led at the break in 67% of their matches, averaging 1.33 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded, while Hoffenheim II conceded 1.5 goals per game before half-time. However, the hosts have greater potential for a turnaround, as reflected by their xG of 2.09 compared with the opponents’ 1.37, as well as an average of 18 shots and 7.5 shots on target, versus Meppen’s 11.33 shots and 4 on target. In their last five matches, Hoffenheim II averaged 2.2 goals scored, while Meppen conceded 2.2, further supporting the scenario of the hosts improving after the break. Meppen scored an average of just 0.2 goals after half-time in their last five appearances, while conceding 1.4, meaning that an early lead may not translate into a final victory. The strongest individual HT/FT scenario is therefore Meppen leading at the break and Hoffenheim II winning at full-time.