Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Hoffenheim II played MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 21 November 2025. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Hoffenheim II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Hoffenheim II scores 2.00 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Hoffenheim II 71%, MSV Duisburg 71%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim II 64%, MSV Duisburg 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Hoffenheim II has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.63. Hoffenheim II: 14.6 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 13.1.

Match halves

Hoffenheim II: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.14.

Goals by minute

Hoffenheim II: 76-90+ (8 goals). MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

4 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
21Shots8
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
11Shots on target2
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
2.47xG0.89
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
4Corners5
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
54Dangerous attacks34
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
5Fouls13
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
2Cards0
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
2Goals scored / match1.86
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.43Goals conceded / match1
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
52%Average possession47%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
6.29Shots on target / match5.07
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.57Shots per match13.14
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
6.29Shots on target5.07
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
13.7%Shot conversion14.1%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
52%Possession47%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.83xG for1.63
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.48xG against1.24
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Shooting quality

Hoffenheim II: AttackingMSV Duisburg: Counter-attacking
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
Accuracy (shots on target)43%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Hoffenheim II is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.2 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II
LWDWL
Season result split
43% W21% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-5
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
MSV Duisburg
DLDDW
Season result split
57% W36% D7% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-1
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hoffenheim II is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.86 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Hoffenheim II · 1 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II scoring profile: very strong

Hoffenheim II scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 86% of matches (12 of 14 matches), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

28Goals scored (season)26
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
20Goals conceded (season)14
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
3.43Average goals in match2.86
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal86%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
43%2 goals64%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
29%3 goals29%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
29%4 goals7%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
43%2 goals21%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
21%3 goals7%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
7%4 goals0%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time21%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
14%BTTS in both halves7%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
36%Scored in both halves43%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
60%BTTS - last 580%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time79%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hoffenheim II - half-time state
43% leading36% draw21% trailing
MSV Duisburg - half-time state
36% leading57% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)1.64
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.64Average goals (1st half)1
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
50%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
29%No goal before half-time43%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1.64
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.14
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
1.79Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
43%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg
43%No goal after half-time29%
Hoffenheim IIMSV Duisburg

Hoffenheim II - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
23
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

36% W57% D7% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Hoffenheim II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Hoffenheim II
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
2
6
16-30
5
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
6
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
8
3
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.15
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Hoffenheim II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Hoffenheim IILigaMSV Duisburg
Average goals in match 3.433.15 2.86
Both teams scored 71%65% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%63% 71%
Clean sheets 29%21% 29%
Goal before half-time 86%76% 64%
Goal after half-time 71%84% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Hoffenheim IIGoalPaul Hennrich
  2. Hoffenheim IIGoalDavid Mokwa NtusuAssist: Deniz Zeitler
  3. Hoffenheim IIGoalDavid Mokwa NtusuAssist: Valentin Lässig
  4. Hoffenheim IISubstitutionOn: Florian BährOff: Valentin André Stanislas Gendrey
  5. MSV DuisburgSubstitutionOn: Jesse Edem TugbenyoOff: Rasim Bulic
  6. Hoffenheim IIYellow cardAyoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
  7. MSV DuisburgSubstitutionOn: Christian VietOff: Leon Müller
  8. MSV DuisburgGoalConnor NoßAssist: Max Dittgen
  9. Hoffenheim IIYellow cardArian Llugiqi
  10. MSV DuisburgSubstitutionOn: Niklas JessenOff: Joshua Bitter
  11. Hoffenheim IISubstitutionOn: Nader El-JindaouiOff: Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
  12. Hoffenheim IISubstitutionOn: Diren DağdevirenOff: Ruben Reisig

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Niclas RoseMatches officiated: 11
4.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 236%Home wins36%Draws27%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

The 3. Liga match finished Hoffenheim II 4:1 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

Hoffenheim II score 2.00 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.86. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Hoffenheim II's matches and 71% of MSV Duisburg's.

What form are Hoffenheim II and MSV Duisburg in?

Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim II vs MSV Duisburg?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.