Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between teams with similar offensive potential. Hoffenheim II displays better home form with a +3 goal difference and a 36% win rate on their own turf, while Rot-Weiss Essen boasts an impressive 46% draw rate on the road, the highest in the league. Both sides record similar average xG figures (1.83 vs 1.74) and an identical shot conversion rate (12%), confirming their closeness in quality. Recent form is volatile, with the hosts earning just 0.8 PPG in their last five outings compared to the visitors' 1.4 PPG. Given the visitors' high propensity for draws and the matched quality of the squads, a split of the points seems the most likely outcome, though the hosts hold a slight edge due to home advantage.
Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim II played Rot-Weiss Essen in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Hoffenheim II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rot-Weiss Essen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim II scores 1.89 and concedes 1.78 goals per match. Rot-Weiss Essen scores 1.89 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim II 78%, Rot-Weiss Essen 81%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim II 78%, Rot-Weiss Essen 63%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Rot-Weiss Essen has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.75. Hoffenheim II: 14.2 shots per match, Rot-Weiss Essen: 14.9.
Match halves
Hoffenheim II: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.93. Rot-Weiss Essen: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim II: 76-90+ (13 goals). Rot-Weiss Essen: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter between teams with similar offensive potential. Hoffenheim II displays better home form with a +3 goal difference and a 36% win rate on their own turf, while Rot-Weiss Essen boasts an impressive 46% draw rate on the road, the highest in the league. Both sides record similar average xG figures (1.83 vs 1.74) and an identical shot conversion rate (12%), confirming their closeness in quality. Recent form is volatile, with the hosts earning just 0.8 PPG in their last five outings compared to the visitors' 1.4 PPG. Given the visitors' high propensity for draws and the matched quality of the squads, a split of the points seems the most likely outcome, though the hosts hold a slight edge due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim II | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.4 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.78 goals / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.63 goals / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Hoffenheim II scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Rot-Weiss Essen keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
Rot-Weiss Essen scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Hoffenheim II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim II
Over / Under - Rot-Weiss Essen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rot-Weiss Essen is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Hoffenheim II · 1.37 pts / match - Rot-Weiss Essen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rot-Weiss Essen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim II
Rot-Weiss Essen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim II | Liga | Rot-Weiss Essen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 63% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim II 0 - 0 - 1 Rot-Weiss Essen. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The 3. Liga match finished Hoffenheim II 2:4 Rot-Weiss Essen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
Hoffenheim II score 1.89 goals per game on average and Rot-Weiss Essen 1.89. The 3. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Hoffenheim II's matches and 81% of Rot-Weiss Essen's.
What form are Hoffenheim II and Rot-Weiss Essen in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim II vs Rot-Weiss Essen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.