Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: match statistics
Hoffenheim presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent for any visitor. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home with just 13% of matches without a goal scored, which proves their offensive effectiveness. Bayer Leverkusen, despite a solid position in the table, has problems on the road – they have never kept a clean sheet (0% CS%) and concede an average of 2 goals per match, which constitutes a significant weakness. The form of both teams in the last five matches is even (Hoffenheim: 2 PPG vs Leverkusen: 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and better defense of the hosts (xGA 1.42 vs 1.78) tip the scales in their favor. I expect a balanced, offensive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the guests and secure a valuable three points.
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim played Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bayer Leverkusen: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 2.13 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Bayer Leverkusen scores 2.13 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 69%, Bayer Leverkusen 63%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 69%, Bayer Leverkusen 69%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Bayer Leverkusen has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.53. Hoffenheim: 13.0 shots per match, Bayer Leverkusen: 14.6.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94. Bayer Leverkusen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (9 goals). Bayer Leverkusen: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim presents impressive home form with a 63% win rate and a +8 goal difference at their own stadium, making them a difficult opponent for any visitor. The hosts average 2.5 goals per match at home with just 13% of matches without a goal scored, which proves their offensive effectiveness. Bayer Leverkusen, despite a solid position in the table, has problems on the road – they have never kept a clean sheet (0% CS%) and concede an average of 2 goals per match, which constitutes a significant weakness. The form of both teams in the last five matches is even (Hoffenheim: 2 PPG vs Leverkusen: 1.4 PPG); however, the home advantage and better defense of the hosts (xGA 1.42 vs 1.78) tip the scales in their favor. I expect a balanced, offensive match with a slight advantage for the hosts, who should exploit the defensive weaknesses of the guests and secure a valuable three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.2 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.5 goals / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Hoffenheim scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Bayer Leverkusen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).
Bayer Leverkusen scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Bayer Leverkusen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayer Leverkusen is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.75 pts / match - Bayer Leverkusen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bayer Leverkusen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.28 | ▲ 3.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 83% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer Leverkusen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hoffenheim score 2.13 goals per game on average and Bayer Leverkusen 2.13. The Bundesliga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Hoffenheim's matches and 63% of Bayer Leverkusen's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bayer Leverkusen 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.