Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach: match statistics
Hoffenheim exhibits solid home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and a +4 goal difference, representing a significant advantage. The hosts average 2.14 goals per home game, failing to score in just 14% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Borussia M'gladbach holds a balanced away record (43% wins and 43% losses), though their recent form is concerning, with just 1.2 points per game in their last five outings. Hoffenheim's superiority in possession (55% vs 48%) and better xG figures at home (1.61 vs 1.4 for the visitors away) further support the hosts. Considering all factors, a tight contest with a slight edge for Hoffenheim is expected, although a draw or an away win remain realistic scenarios given Borussia's decent defensive resilience on the road.
Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim played Borussia M'gladbach in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Borussia M'gladbach: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 1.93 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Borussia M'gladbach scores 1.38 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 67%, Borussia M'gladbach 31%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 67%, Borussia M'gladbach 56%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.32. Hoffenheim: 12.7 shots per match, Borussia M'gladbach: 11.6.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.93. Borussia M'gladbach: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (7 goals). Borussia M'gladbach: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim exhibits solid home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and a +4 goal difference, representing a significant advantage. The hosts average 2.14 goals per home game, failing to score in just 14% of matches, which attests to their offensive efficiency. Borussia M'gladbach holds a balanced away record (43% wins and 43% losses), though their recent form is concerning, with just 1.2 points per game in their last five outings. Hoffenheim's superiority in possession (55% vs 48%) and better xG figures at home (1.61 vs 1.4 for the visitors away) further support the hosts. Considering all factors, a tight contest with a slight edge for Hoffenheim is expected, although a draw or an away win remain realistic scenarios given Borussia's decent defensive resilience on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.4 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.38 goals / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.5 goals / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Hoffenheim scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Borussia M'gladbach keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Borussia M'gladbach scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Borussia M'gladbach
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.19 pts / match - Borussia M'gladbach
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Borussia M'gladbach - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Borussia M'gladbach
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Borussia M'gladbach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.27 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 82% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 5:1 Borussia M'gladbach. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
Hoffenheim score 1.93 goals per game on average and Borussia M'gladbach 1.38. The Bundesliga average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Hoffenheim's matches and 31% of Borussia M'gladbach's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Borussia M'gladbach in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Borussia M'gladbach 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach?
The statistical background for Hoffenheim vs Borussia M'gladbach — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.