Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin: match statistics
Hoffenheim is displaying significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games, while Union Berlin has managed only 1.2 points. The hosts are on an impressive run of four consecutive victories and have conceded just two goals in their last five matches, showcasing a solid defense. At home, Hoffenheim wins 67% of their games, averaging 2.33 goals scored and conceding only 1.33 goals per match. Union Berlin performs considerably worse away from home – they win only 33% of their matches, have a negative goal difference (-5), and average just one goal scored per away game. Hoffenheim's advantage in xG statistics (1.73 vs 1.39) and possession (54% vs 40%) further confirms their dominance. Considering all factors, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite in this clash.
Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim played Union Berlin in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Union Berlin: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 2.11 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Union Berlin scores 1.26 and concedes 1.58. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 63%, Union Berlin 58%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 63%, Union Berlin 58%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.38. Hoffenheim: 13.1 shots per match, Union Berlin: 12.9.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.00. Union Berlin: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (10 goals). Union Berlin: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim is displaying significantly better form, averaging 2.6 points per match in their last five games, while Union Berlin has managed only 1.2 points. The hosts are on an impressive run of four consecutive victories and have conceded just two goals in their last five matches, showcasing a solid defense. At home, Hoffenheim wins 67% of their games, averaging 2.33 goals scored and conceding only 1.33 goals per match. Union Berlin performs considerably worse away from home – they win only 33% of their matches, have a negative goal difference (-5), and average just one goal scored per away game. Hoffenheim's advantage in xG statistics (1.73 vs 1.39) and possession (54% vs 40%) further confirms their dominance. Considering all factors, Hoffenheim is the clear favorite in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.2 pts / match - Union Berlin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.11 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.26 goals / match - Union Berlin
Hoffenheim is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.58 goals / match - Union Berlin
Hoffenheim scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Union Berlin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Union Berlin scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Union Berlin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.16 pts / match - Union Berlin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Union Berlin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.26 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 81% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Union Berlin. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 3:1 Union Berlin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?
Hoffenheim score 2.11 goals per game on average and Union Berlin 1.26. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Hoffenheim's matches and 58% of Union Berlin's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Union Berlin in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Union Berlin 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.