Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: match statistics
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim played Werder Bremen in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Werder Bremen: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Werder Bremen scores 1.16 and concedes 1.78. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 69%, Werder Bremen 50%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 72%, Werder Bremen 56%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.47. Hoffenheim: 14.2 shots per match, Werder Bremen: 13.3.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.91. Werder Bremen: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (19 goals). Werder Bremen: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim are favorites — they sit 6th and score 2.13 goals per home match with xG 1.86, while Werder are 15th and average only 1.13 goals away with xG 1.22. The hosts generate significantly more high-quality chances: 6.06 shots on target and 16.31 shots per home game versus Werder’s 3.69 shots on target and 10.75 away, with conversion rates of 13% vs 10%. Defensively Hoffenheim concede 1.31 goals per home game and have a home goal difference of +13, whereas Werder concede 1.75 away and have a negative goal difference of -10; additionally Werder fail to score in 38% of away matches, while Hoffenheim fail to score in only 13% of home games. In the last 5 matches Hoffenheim have scored 10 goals and average 1.6 points per game, while Werder have 7 goals in their last 5 and only 0.8 points per game with one win — form and the numbers favor the hosts. Considering the xG advantage (1.86 vs 1.22), possession (56% vs 49%) and chance quality, I predict a Hoffenheim win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is that both teams registered BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches (Hoffenheim 100%, Werder 100%), compared to the league BTTS level of 61%. The season BTTS rate for each side is 50%, but low clean sheet expected rates (Hoffenheim 19%, Werder 19%) and season goals conceded averages (Hoffenheim 1.81, Werder 1.75) increase the likelihood of goals from both teams. Hoffenheim produces xG 1.72 and averages 4.81 shots on target per match, while Werder concedes xG against 1.85 and has conceded on average 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating scoring opportunities for the home side. Werder scored 7 goals and averaged 3.69 shots on target in their last five fixtures, and Hoffenheim conceded 9 goals in those 5 matches, confirming defensive vulnerability on both sides. Therefore I favour the BTTS scenario as more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.79 xG for Hoffenheim and 1.25 xG for Werder (total 3.04), indicating a clear lean above the 2.5 line. Seasonally Hoffenheim records over 1.5 in 88% of matches, Werder in 75%, and both teams have over 2.5 in 56% of fixtures; in the last 5 rounds Hoffenheim had over 2.5 in 100% and Werder in 80%, which increases the likelihood of more goals. Werder concedes on average 1.85 xG per match, while Hoffenheim averages 15.8 shots and 4.81 on target, supporting the hosts’ offensive profile and their 1.79 xG. Considering the total expected goals of 3.04, recent form and shot statistics, I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (model rates Over 2.5 at ~72%, Over 1.5 at ~92%, and Over 3.5 at ~33%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Hoffenheim leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1). In their last 5 matches Hoffenheim led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and averaged 1.6 goals in the first 45 minutes, while Werder managed only 0.4 goals by half-time in those games. Hoffenheim generate 1.72 xG per match versus Werder’s 1.22, average 15.81 shots (4.81 on target) compared to 10.75 (3.69 on target) for the visitors, and Werder have conceded 1.85 xG on average, indicating a home advantage in chance creation and quality. Over the season Hoffenheim led at the break in only 13% of matches versus 25% for Werder, but current form (last 5 matches) suggests a reversal of that trend, so I assess 1/1 at 42%. Since Werder average 1.0 goal after the break in their last 5 matches, draw or turnaround scenarios (X/1 11%, X/X 12% and 1/X 8%) retain moderate probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 0.8 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 72% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.16 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.78 goals / match - Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Werder Bremen keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
Werder Bremen scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Werder Bremen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 0.88 pts / match - Werder Bremen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Werder Bremen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (19 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.50 | 3.22 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 76% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Werder Bremen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 1:0 Werder Bremen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
Hoffenheim score 2.00 goals per game on average and Werder Bremen 1.16. The Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Hoffenheim's matches and 50% of Werder Bremen's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Werder Bremen 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.