Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Hoffenheim sits 3rd in the table and displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per game while conceding just 1.17. Wolfsburg occupies a threatened 17th position and suffers from a disastrous away form - a 58% away loss rate, conceding an average of 2.25 goals, and scoring merely 1.17. The last 5 matches of both teams show a massive gap: Hoffenheim earned 1.4 points per game, whereas Wolfsburg managed only 0.2 points. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts - 1.82 xG for Hoffenheim in home matches compared to a mere 1.1 xG for Wolfsburg on the road. A goal difference of +13 for Hoffenheim at home and -13 for Wolfsburg away clearly indicates the hosts' dominance. All statistics heavily favor Hoffenheim to secure a confident victory in this fixture.
Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Hoffenheim played Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Hoffenheim: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Wolfsburg: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Hoffenheim scores 2.12 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 1.36 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Hoffenheim 64%, Wolfsburg 76%. Over 2.5: Hoffenheim 68%, Wolfsburg 72%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Hoffenheim has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.33. Hoffenheim: 13.8 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 11.6.
Match halves
Hoffenheim: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Hoffenheim: 31-45+ (15 goals). Wolfsburg: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hoffenheim sits 3rd in the table and displays solid home form with a 67% home win rate, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per game while conceding just 1.17. Wolfsburg occupies a threatened 17th position and suffers from a disastrous away form - a 58% away loss rate, conceding an average of 2.25 goals, and scoring merely 1.17. The last 5 matches of both teams show a massive gap: Hoffenheim earned 1.4 points per game, whereas Wolfsburg managed only 0.2 points. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts - 1.82 xG for Hoffenheim in home matches compared to a mere 1.1 xG for Wolfsburg on the road. A goal difference of +13 for Hoffenheim at home and -13 for Wolfsburg away clearly indicates the hosts' dominance. All statistics heavily favor Hoffenheim to secure a confident victory in this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Hoffenheim | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hoffenheim is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 0.2 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hoffenheim is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
2.12 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 1.36 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Hoffenheim · 2.2 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 25 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Hoffenheim keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Hoffenheim
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hoffenheim is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Hoffenheim · 1.16 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Hoffenheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Hoffenheim | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Hoffenheim 1 - 0 - 0 Wolfsburg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Hoffenheim 1:1 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg?
Hoffenheim score 2.12 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.36. The Bundesliga average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Hoffenheim's matches and 76% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Hoffenheim have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Wolfsburg 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.