Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Holstein Kiel played Dynamo Dresden in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Holstein Kiel: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Dynamo Dresden: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Holstein Kiel scores 1.13 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Dynamo Dresden scores 1.44 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Holstein Kiel 56%, Dynamo Dresden 81%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 38%, Dynamo Dresden 81%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Dynamo Dresden has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Holstein Kiel: 12.9 shots per match, Dynamo Dresden: 12.9.

Match halves

Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56. Dynamo Dresden: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Holstein Kiel: 76-90+ (5 goals). Dynamo Dresden: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
10Shots19
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.16xG2.14
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
7Corners9
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
34Dangerous attacks52
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
7Fouls8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0Cards1
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.13Goals scored / match1.44
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.31Goals conceded / match2
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
51%Average possession50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target / match3.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.88Shots per match12.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
4Shots on target3.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
8.7%Shot conversion11.2%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
51%Possession50%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.37xG for1.41
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.58xG against1.57
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Shooting quality

Holstein Kiel: BalancedDynamo Dresden: Balanced
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
Accuracy (shots on target)31%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Dynamo Dresden is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.2 pts / match - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel
WLLDD
Season result split
25% W31% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-7
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Dynamo Dresden
LWWLL
Season result split
19% W25% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-9
0.81 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dynamo Dresden is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.13 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.44 goals / match - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 2 goals / match - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel scoring profile: very strong

Holstein Kiel scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Dynamo Dresden keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 16 matches).

Dynamo Dresden scoring profile: very strong

Dynamo Dresden scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

18Goals scored (season)23
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
21Goals conceded (season)32
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
2.44Average goals in match3.44
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
9Goals conceded (last 5)10
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
19%2 goals56%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%3 goals6%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0%4 goals0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal100%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%2 goals75%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%3 goals25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%4 goals0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time44%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%BTTS in both halves13%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
19%Scored in both halves31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Holstein Kiel is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.31 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.19 pts / match - Dynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - half-time state
31% leading38% draw31% trailing
Dynamo Dresden - half-time state
31% leading25% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.31Points per match (1st half)1.19
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)1.06
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.94
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
63%Clean sheet before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%No goal before half-time31%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)0.75
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%Clean sheet after half-time19%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
50%No goal after half-time56%
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden

Holstein Kiel - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.31
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 25%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dynamo Dresden - second-half results

13% W38% R50% P
19
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Holstein Kiel - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Dynamo Dresden - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Holstein Kiel
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
4
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Dynamo Dresden
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
6
31-45
4
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Holstein Kiel

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Dynamo Dresden

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Holstein KielLigaDynamo Dresden
Average goals in match 2.442.83 3.44
Both teams scored 56%54% 81%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%57% 81%
Clean sheets 25%26% 0%
Goal before half-time 69%66% 94%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Dynamo DresdenYellow cardJulian Andreas Pauli
  2. Dynamo DresdenGoalVincent VermeijAssist: Luca Herrmann
  3. Holstein KielGoalPhil HarresAssist: Steven Skrzybski
  4. Holstein KielGoalIvan NekićAssist: Niklas Niehoff
  5. Dynamo DresdenSubstitutionOn: Nils FrolingOff: Lukas Boeder
  6. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: John TolkinOff: Niklas Niehoff
  7. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: Jonas TherkelsenOff: Adrián Kaprálik
  8. Holstein KielSubstitutionOn: Kasper DavidsenOff: Robert Wagner

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:1 Dynamo Dresden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Holstein Kiel score 1.13 goals per game on average and Dynamo Dresden 1.44. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 81% of Dynamo Dresden's.

What form are Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden in?

Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dynamo Dresden 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.