Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg: match statistics
Elversberg displays significantly higher form and class this season, sitting in 3rd place with a 58% away win rate, while Holstein Kiel is in 14th position and undergoing a disastrous streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts haven't won any of their last five matches and conceded 13 goals in that period, indicating serious defensive issues. Elversberg records better stats in almost every aspect: higher shooting efficiency (13% vs 9%), more shots on target (5.25 vs 4.18), and a better average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.18 for the hosts at home). Additionally, the visitors scored 9 goals in their last five matches and won three of them, confirming their good disposition. The goal difference (+8 for the visitors away vs +1 for the hosts at home) and recent form unequivocally point towards an Elversberg victory.
Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel played Elversberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Elversberg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.22 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Elversberg scores 1.83 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 65%, Elversberg 52%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 52%, Elversberg 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Elversberg has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.32. Holstein Kiel: 12.2 shots per match, Elversberg: 15.4.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65. Elversberg: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). Elversberg: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elversberg displays significantly higher form and class this season, sitting in 3rd place with a 58% away win rate, while Holstein Kiel is in 14th position and undergoing a disastrous streak of five consecutive defeats. The hosts haven't won any of their last five matches and conceded 13 goals in that period, indicating serious defensive issues. Elversberg records better stats in almost every aspect: higher shooting efficiency (13% vs 9%), more shots on target (5.25 vs 4.18), and a better average of goals scored away (1.92 vs 1.18 for the hosts at home). Additionally, the visitors scored 9 goals in their last five matches and won three of them, confirming their good disposition. The goal difference (+8 for the visitors away vs +1 for the hosts at home) and recent form unequivocally point towards an Elversberg victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elversberg is 900% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 2 pts / match - Elversberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elversberg is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.83 goals / match - Elversberg
Elversberg is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.09 goals / match - Elversberg
Holstein Kiel scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Elversberg keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Elversberg scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Elversberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elversberg is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.61 pts / match - Elversberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Elversberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Elversberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 2.91 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Holstein Kiel 0 - 0 - 1 Elversberg. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 1:1 Elversberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg?
Holstein Kiel score 1.22 goals per game on average and Elversberg 1.83. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 52% of Elversberg's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Elversberg in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Elversberg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.