Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth: match statistics
Holstein Kiel displays solid home form with a 44% win rate at their own ground and a home goal difference of +3. The hosts are undefeated in their last five matches overall, indicating stabilized performance. Greuther Fürth finds itself in an awful away situation, suffering losses in 70% of their road games and boasting a catastrophic goal difference of -11, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2.7 goals per away match, which, given Kiel's decent efficiency, presents the hosts with a realistic chance to secure all three points. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for Kiel vs. 0.6 PPG for Fürth) further underlines the home side's advantage, although Greuther Fürth's ability to score goals (averaging 1.6 per match) could make this an open encounter.
Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel played Greuther Fürth in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Greuther Fürth: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.26 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Greuther Fürth scores 1.37 and concedes 2.42. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 58%, Greuther Fürth 58%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 42%, Greuther Fürth 74%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Holstein Kiel has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.26. Holstein Kiel: 12.2 shots per match, Greuther Fürth: 11.5.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.58. Greuther Fürth: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). Greuther Fürth: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Holstein Kiel displays solid home form with a 44% win rate at their own ground and a home goal difference of +3. The hosts are undefeated in their last five matches overall, indicating stabilized performance. Greuther Fürth finds itself in an awful away situation, suffering losses in 70% of their road games and boasting a catastrophic goal difference of -11, without keeping a single clean sheet. The visitors concede an average of 2.7 goals per away match, which, given Kiel's decent efficiency, presents the hosts with a realistic chance to secure all three points. The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG for Kiel vs. 0.6 PPG for Fürth) further underlines the home side's advantage, although Greuther Fürth's ability to score goals (averaging 1.6 per match) could make this an open encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Holstein Kiel is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 0.6 pts / match - Greuther Fürth
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greuther Fürth is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.37 goals / match - Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 2.42 goals / match - Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Greuther Fürth keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Greuther Fürth scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Greuther Fürth
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Holstein Kiel is 116% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 0.68 pts / match - Greuther Fürth
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Greuther Fürth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Greuther Fürth
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 57% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 - 0 Greuther Fürth. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 1:2 Greuther Fürth. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth?
Holstein Kiel score 1.26 goals per game on average and Greuther Fürth 1.37. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 58% of Greuther Fürth's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Greuther Fürth in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Greuther Fürth 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Fürth?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.