Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel play Hertha BSC in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Holstein-Stadion.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Hertha BSC: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.00 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Hertha BSC scores 2.71 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 57%, Hertha BSC 86%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 43%, Hertha BSC 86%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Hertha BSC has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.50. Holstein Kiel: 14.3 shots per match, Hertha BSC: 19.1.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Hertha BSC: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.57.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 31-45+ (3 goals). Hertha BSC: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hertha BSC is 650% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 3 pts / match - Hertha BSC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hertha BSC is 171% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 2.71 goals / match - Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.14 goals / match - Hertha BSC
Holstein Kiel scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Hertha BSC scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Hertha BSC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hertha BSC is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.57 pts / match - Hertha BSC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Hertha BSC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 62% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 - 1 Hertha BSC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC play?
Holstein Kiel face Hertha BSC on 16 October 2026 in 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1, Hertha BSC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Holstein Kiel score 1.00 goals per game on average and Hertha BSC 2.71. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 86% of Hertha BSC's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Hertha BSC 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.