Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: match statistics
Holstein Kiel sits bottom of the table, yet they perform significantly better at their home stadium than Nürnberg does on the road. The hosts win 33% of their home games with a +1 goal difference, whereas the visitors triumph in only 17% of their away matches with a disastrous -9 goal difference. Both teams are enduring a poor streak – Kiel is winless in their last 5 matches (0.2 PPG), and Nürnberg is only slightly better (0.8 PPG). The xG stats are balanced, and Nürnberg has not kept a single clean sheet away from home, indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Kiel's home advantage, the poor form of both sides, and their evenly matched offensive metrics, a draw or a narrow home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.
Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel played Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Nürnberg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.16 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 1.24 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 64%, Nürnberg 64%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 48%, Nürnberg 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Nürnberg has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.29. Holstein Kiel: 11.9 shots per match, Nürnberg: 12.4.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.64. Nürnberg: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). Nürnberg: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Holstein Kiel sits bottom of the table, yet they perform significantly better at their home stadium than Nürnberg does on the road. The hosts win 33% of their home games with a +1 goal difference, whereas the visitors triumph in only 17% of their away matches with a disastrous -9 goal difference. Both teams are enduring a poor streak – Kiel is winless in their last 5 matches (0.2 PPG), and Nürnberg is only slightly better (0.8 PPG). The xG stats are balanced, and Nürnberg has not kept a single clean sheet away from home, indicating defensive vulnerability. Considering Kiel's home advantage, the poor form of both sides, and their evenly matched offensive metrics, a draw or a narrow home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nürnberg is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 0.8 pts / match - Nürnberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nürnberg is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.24 goals / match - Nürnberg
Nürnberg is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.4 goals / match - Nürnberg
Holstein Kiel scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Nürnberg scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.64 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- NürnbergYellow cardTarek Buchmann
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Holstein Kiel 0 - 1 - 0 Nürnberg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 2:3 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
Holstein Kiel score 1.16 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 1.24. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 64% of Nürnberg's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Nürnberg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.