Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04: match statistics
Schalke 04 displays significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Holstein Kiel (13th place). The visitors are characterized by a high percentage of clean sheets away (55%) and a solid defence, conceding an average of only 0.73 goals per away match. Holstein Kiel is going through a weaker period, winning only once in their last five matches, resulting in a low PPG (0.8). Schalke has a positive away goal difference (+4) and a higher win rate (45% of away matches won), while the hosts win only 40% of their home matches. The xG statistics also speak in favour of Schalke, who have a better balance between attack and defence. Considering all factors, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced shooting and possession statistics.
Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Holstein Kiel played Schalke 04 in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Holstein Kiel: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Schalke 04: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Holstein Kiel scores 1.24 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Schalke 04 scores 1.24 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Holstein Kiel 62%, Schalke 04 38%. Over 2.5: Holstein Kiel 48%, Schalke 04 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Schalke 04 has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.30. Holstein Kiel: 12.1 shots per match, Schalke 04: 12.6.
Match halves
Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.62. Schalke 04: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). Schalke 04: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Schalke 04 displays significantly better form and league position (2nd place) compared to Holstein Kiel (13th place). The visitors are characterized by a high percentage of clean sheets away (55%) and a solid defence, conceding an average of only 0.73 goals per away match. Holstein Kiel is going through a weaker period, winning only once in their last five matches, resulting in a low PPG (0.8). Schalke has a positive away goal difference (+4) and a higher win rate (45% of away matches won), while the hosts win only 40% of their home matches. The xG statistics also speak in favour of Schalke, who have a better balance between attack and defence. Considering all factors, I expect an away win, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to relatively balanced shooting and possession statistics.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Holstein Kiel | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Holstein Kiel is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 0.6 pts / match - Schalke 04
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Schalke 04 is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Holstein Kiel · 0.76 goals / match - Schalke 04
Holstein Kiel scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Schalke 04 keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Schalke 04 scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
Over / Under - Schalke 04
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Schalke 04 is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Holstein Kiel · 1.57 pts / match - Schalke 04
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Schalke 04 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Holstein Kiel
Schalke 04
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Holstein Kiel | Liga | Schalke 04 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Holstein Kiel 1 - 0 - 0 Schalke 04. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Holstein Kiel 1:2 Schalke 04. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
Holstein Kiel score 1.24 goals per game on average and Schalke 04 1.24. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Holstein Kiel's matches and 38% of Schalke 04's.
What form are Holstein Kiel and Schalke 04 in?
Over the last 5 games Holstein Kiel have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Schalke 04 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.