Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueHalkyn RoadData current as of 25 September 2026

Holywell vs Briton Ferry: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Holywell vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Holywell play Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Halkyn Road.

Current form

Holywell: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Briton Ferry: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Holywell scores 1.10 and concedes 3.50 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 0.90 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Holywell 80%, Briton Ferry 60%. Over 2.5: Holywell 80%, Briton Ferry 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Briton Ferry has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.12. Holywell: 9.7 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 12.3.

Match halves

Holywell: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Holywell: 31-45+ (3 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.34 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.03)
(4.10)
(1.67)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HolywellBriton Ferry
1.1Goals scored / match0.9
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.5Goals conceded / match1.9
HolywellBriton Ferry
42%Average possession49%
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.7Shots on target / match4.1
HolywellBriton Ferry

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.7Shots per match12.3
HolywellBriton Ferry
3.7Shots on target4.1
HolywellBriton Ferry
11.3%Shot conversion7.3%
HolywellBriton Ferry
42%Possession49%
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.12xG for1.54
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.86xG against1.65
HolywellBriton Ferry

Shooting quality

Holywell: BalancedBriton Ferry: Balanced
HolywellBriton Ferry
Accuracy (shots on target)38%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Holywell
LDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W10% D90% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-9
0.10 pts / match · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Briton Ferry
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-6
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Holywell is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Holywell · 0.9 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Briton Ferry is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.

3.5 goals / match - Holywell · 1.9 goals / match - Briton Ferry

Holywell scoring profile: very strong

Holywell scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Briton Ferry scoring profile: very strong

Briton Ferry scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Holywell keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)9
HolywellBriton Ferry
35Goals conceded (season)19
HolywellBriton Ferry
4.6Average goals in match2.8
HolywellBriton Ferry
4Goals scored (last 5)5
HolywellBriton Ferry
15Goals conceded (last 5)13
HolywellBriton Ferry

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal70%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%2 goals20%
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%3 goals0%
HolywellBriton Ferry
0%4 goals0%
HolywellBriton Ferry

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal90%
HolywellBriton Ferry
80%2 goals50%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%3 goals40%
HolywellBriton Ferry
40%4 goals10%
HolywellBriton Ferry

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time20%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%BTTS in both halves0%
HolywellBriton Ferry
20%Scored in both halves20%
HolywellBriton Ferry

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
HolywellBriton Ferry
60%BTTS - last 580%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
HolywellBriton Ferry

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
HolywellBriton Ferry
70%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Briton Ferry is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.3 pts / match - Holywell · 1.2 pts / match - Briton Ferry

Holywell - half-time state
0% leading30% draw70% trailing
Briton Ferry - half-time state
30% leading30% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.3Points per match (1st half)1.2
HolywellBriton Ferry
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
HolywellBriton Ferry
2.1Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
HolywellBriton Ferry
2.6Average goals (1st half)1.3
HolywellBriton Ferry
10%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%No goal before half-time50%
HolywellBriton Ferry

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)0.7
HolywellBriton Ferry
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
HolywellBriton Ferry
1.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
HolywellBriton Ferry
2Average goals (2nd half)1.5
HolywellBriton Ferry
30%Clean sheet after half-time30%
HolywellBriton Ferry
50%No goal after half-time60%
HolywellBriton Ferry

Holywell - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
3
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.30
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Briton Ferry - second-half results

20% W10% D70% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Holywell - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match2.01.0
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-9-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Briton Ferry - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Holywell
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
12
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
7
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Briton Ferry
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
111%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Holywell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.74
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
232%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Briton Ferry

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

HolywellLigaBriton Ferry
Average goals in match▲ 4.603.34▼ 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 80%52%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%61%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%80%• 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%85%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.34
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Holywell and Briton Ferry play?

Holywell face Briton Ferry on 26 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Halkyn Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

Holywell score 1.10 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 0.90. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Holywell's matches and 60% of Briton Ferry's.

What form are Holywell and Briton Ferry in?

Over the last 5 games Holywell have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Briton Ferry 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holywell vs Briton Ferry?

The statistical background for Holywell vs Briton Ferry — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.