Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueHalkyn RoadData current as of 13 September 2026

Holywell vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Holywell vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Holywell play Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 15 September 2026. Venue: Halkyn Road.

Current form

Holywell: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Holywell scores 1.38 and concedes 3.63 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.14 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Holywell 100%, Colwyn Bay 38%. Over 2.5: Holywell 88%, Colwyn Bay 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.12. Holywell: 9.6 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 13.1.

Match halves

Holywell: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Holywell: 31-45+ (3 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

HolywellColwyn Bay
1.38Goals scored / match1.25
HolywellColwyn Bay
3.63Goals conceded / match1.5
HolywellColwyn Bay
41%Average possession45%
HolywellColwyn Bay
3.75Shots on target / match3.38
HolywellColwyn Bay

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.63Shots per match13.13
HolywellColwyn Bay
3.75Shots on target3.38
HolywellColwyn Bay
14.3%Shot conversion9.5%
HolywellColwyn Bay
41%Possession45%
HolywellColwyn Bay
1.12xG for1.41
HolywellColwyn Bay
1.83xG against1.22
HolywellColwyn Bay

Shooting quality

Holywell: Counter-attackingColwyn Bay: Balanced
HolywellColwyn Bay
Accuracy (shots on target)39%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Colwyn Bay is 800% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Holywell · 1.8 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

Holywell
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W13% D88% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-7
0.13 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
LLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Colwyn Bay
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W13% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-3
1.63 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Holywell is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Holywell · 1.25 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay is 142% better for: goals conceded per match.

3.63 goals / match - Holywell · 1.5 goals / match - Colwyn Bay

Holywell scoring profile: very strong

Holywell scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Colwyn Bay scoring profile: very strong

Colwyn Bay scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Holywell keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

11Goals scored (season)10
HolywellColwyn Bay
29Goals conceded (season)12
HolywellColwyn Bay
5Average goals in match2.75
HolywellColwyn Bay
8Goals scored (last 5)6
HolywellColwyn Bay
17Goals conceded (last 5)7
HolywellColwyn Bay

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal75%
HolywellColwyn Bay
25%2 goals50%
HolywellColwyn Bay
13%3 goals0%
HolywellColwyn Bay
0%4 goals0%
HolywellColwyn Bay

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal63%
HolywellColwyn Bay
88%2 goals38%
HolywellColwyn Bay
75%3 goals25%
HolywellColwyn Bay
38%4 goals13%
HolywellColwyn Bay

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

63%BTTS at half-time0%
HolywellColwyn Bay
25%BTTS in both halves0%
HolywellColwyn Bay
25%Scored in both halves13%
HolywellColwyn Bay

BTTS and goal count

88%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
HolywellColwyn Bay
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
HolywellColwyn Bay
100%BTTS - last 540%
HolywellColwyn Bay

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
HolywellColwyn Bay
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
HolywellColwyn Bay
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
HolywellColwyn Bay

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
HolywellColwyn Bay
88%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
HolywellColwyn Bay
38%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
HolywellColwyn Bay

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Colwyn Bay is 295% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.38 pts / match - Holywell · 1.5 pts / match - Colwyn Bay

Holywell - half-time state
0% leading38% draw63% trailing
Colwyn Bay - half-time state
50% leading0% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.38Points per match (1st half)1.5
HolywellColwyn Bay
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.75
HolywellColwyn Bay
1.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
HolywellColwyn Bay
2.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
HolywellColwyn Bay
13%Clean sheet before half-time50%
HolywellColwyn Bay
38%No goal before half-time50%
HolywellColwyn Bay

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per match (2nd half)1.13
HolywellColwyn Bay
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
HolywellColwyn Bay
1.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
HolywellColwyn Bay
2.5Average goals (2nd half)1.25
HolywellColwyn Bay
13%Clean sheet after half-time63%
HolywellColwyn Bay
38%No goal after half-time63%
HolywellColwyn Bay

Holywell - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
3
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.38
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Colwyn Bay - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Holywell - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.61.8
Average goals in match2.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Colwyn Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Holywell
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
9
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
7
61-75
2
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Colwyn Bay
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Holywell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
247%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Colwyn Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

HolywellLigaColwyn Bay
Average goals in match 5.003.14 2.75
Both teams scored 100%50% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 88%58% 50%
Clean sheets 0%26% 38%
Goal before half-time 88%78% 100%
Goal after half-time 88%84% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.14
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Holywell 0 - 0 - 2 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Holywell
0 : 2
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Holywell

FAQ

When do Holywell and Colwyn Bay play?

Holywell face Colwyn Bay on 15 September 2026 in Welsh Premier League at Halkyn Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Holywell and Colwyn Bay?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Holywell won 0, Colwyn Bay won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?

Holywell score 1.38 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.25. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Holywell's matches and 38% of Colwyn Bay's.

What form are Holywell and Colwyn Bay in?

Over the last 5 games Holywell have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Holywell vs Colwyn Bay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.