Homeboyz vs APS Bomet: match statistics
Homeboyz clearly outperform APS Bomet in key home statistics. The hosts record 30% wins at home with only 10% losses, while the visitors lose as many as 44% of away matches. Homeboyz scores an average of 1.8 goals per match at home and has a better xG (0.89 vs 0.74), indicating a higher quality of chances created. APS Bomet has earned only 0.4 points per match in their last five games and has not secured a single victory, confirming poor form. Homeboyz's high percentage of draws at home (60%) and the relatively small difference in team strength justify a significant probability of a draw, but the hosts' advantage in possession (52% vs 40%) and offensive efficiency support their victory.
Homeboyz vs APS Bomet: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Homeboyz played APS Bomet in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Homeboyz: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. APS Bomet: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Homeboyz scores 1.45 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. APS Bomet scores 1.10 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Homeboyz 60%, APS Bomet 60%. Over 2.5: Homeboyz 45%, APS Bomet 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.16. Homeboyz: 9.8 shots per match, APS Bomet: 7.0.
Match halves
Homeboyz: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.35. APS Bomet: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Homeboyz: 0-15 (19 goals). APS Bomet: 0-15 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Homeboyz clearly outperform APS Bomet in key home statistics. The hosts record 30% wins at home with only 10% losses, while the visitors lose as many as 44% of away matches. Homeboyz scores an average of 1.8 goals per match at home and has a better xG (0.89 vs 0.74), indicating a higher quality of chances created. APS Bomet has earned only 0.4 points per match in their last five games and has not secured a single victory, confirming poor form. Homeboyz's high percentage of draws at home (60%) and the relatively small difference in team strength justify a significant probability of a draw, but the hosts' advantage in possession (52% vs 40%) and offensive efficiency support their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Homeboyz | APS Bomet | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Homeboyz is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Homeboyz · 0.4 pts / match - APS Bomet
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Homeboyz · 1.1 goals / match - APS Bomet
Homeboyz is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Homeboyz · 1.45 goals / match - APS Bomet
Homeboyz scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while APS Bomet keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
APS Bomet scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Homeboyz
Over / Under - APS Bomet
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Homeboyz · 0.9 pts / match - APS Bomet
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
APS Bomet - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Homeboyz
APS Bomet
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Homeboyz | Liga | APS Bomet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.70 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Homeboyz 1 - 0 - 0 APS Bomet. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Homeboyz 2:1 APS Bomet. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
Homeboyz score 1.45 goals per game on average and APS Bomet 1.10. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Homeboyz's matches and 60% of APS Bomet's.
What form are Homeboyz and APS Bomet in?
Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and APS Bomet 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs APS Bomet?
The statistical background for Homeboyz vs APS Bomet — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


