Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueBukhungu StadiumData current as of 25 October 2026

Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Homeboyz play Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 28 October 2026. Venue: Bukhungu Stadium.

Current form

Homeboyz: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Gor Mahia: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Homeboyz scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 2.00 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Homeboyz 50%, Gor Mahia 33%. Over 2.5: Homeboyz 0%, Gor Mahia 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.73. Homeboyz: 16.5 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 13.7.

Match halves

Homeboyz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67.

Goals by minute

Homeboyz: 76-90+ (2 goals). Gor Mahia: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match2
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0.5Goals conceded / match0.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
52%Average possession54%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
3.5Shots on target / match4.33
HomeboyzGor Mahia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match13.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
3.5Shots on target4.33
HomeboyzGor Mahia
6.1%Shot conversion14.6%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
52%Possession54%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1.93xG for1.73
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0.85xG against1.35
HomeboyzGor Mahia

Shooting quality

Homeboyz: AttackingGor Mahia: Efficient finishing
HomeboyzGor Mahia
Accuracy (shots on target)21%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gor Mahia is 50% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Homeboyz · 3 pts / match - Gor Mahia

Homeboyz
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%
Gor Mahia
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.73Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gor Mahia is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Homeboyz · 2 goals / match - Gor Mahia

Homeboyz is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.5 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.67 goals / match - Gor Mahia

Homeboyz scoring profile: strong

Homeboyz scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Gor Mahia scoring profile: very strong

Gor Mahia scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

2Goals scored (season)6
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1Goals conceded (season)2
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1.5Average goals in match2.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
2Goals scored (last 5)6
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1Goals conceded (last 5)2
HomeboyzGor Mahia

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%2 goals33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%3 goals33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%4 goals33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%2 goals33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%3 goals0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%4 goals0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Scored in both halves33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
50%BTTS - last 533%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gor Mahia is 234% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.67 pts / match - Gor Mahia

Homeboyz - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Gor Mahia - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0Goals scored (1st half)0.33
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.33
HomeboyzGor Mahia
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
100%No goal before half-time67%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per match (2nd half)3
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
HomeboyzGor Mahia
1Average goals (2nd half)2.33
HomeboyzGor Mahia
100%Clean sheet after half-time67%
HomeboyzGor Mahia
0%No goal after half-time0%
HomeboyzGor Mahia

Homeboyz - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gor Mahia - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding303%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Homeboyz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.503.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.50.0
Average goals in match0.51.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Gor Mahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.673.00
Goals scored / match0.31.7
Goals conceded / match0.00.7
Average goals in match0.32.3
1 goal33%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet100%67%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Homeboyz
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Gor Mahia
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-52%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Homeboyz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.93
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Gor Mahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
233%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

HomeboyzLigaGor Mahia
Average goals in match▼ 1.501.90▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▲ 50%43%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%29%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▲ 50%40%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%38%▼ 33%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.05
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
38%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Homeboyz 0 - 0 - 4 Gor Mahia. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Homeboyz
0 : 1
Gor Mahia
Homeboyz
0 : 1
Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia
1 : 0
Homeboyz
Gor Mahia
1 : 0
Homeboyz

FAQ

When do Homeboyz and Gor Mahia play?

Homeboyz face Gor Mahia on 28 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Bukhungu Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Homeboyz and Gor Mahia?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Homeboyz won 0, Gor Mahia won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?

Homeboyz score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Homeboyz's matches and 33% of Gor Mahia's.

What form are Homeboyz and Gor Mahia in?

Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Gor Mahia 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs Gor Mahia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.