Homeboyz vs Mathare United: match statistics
Homeboyz vs Mathare United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Homeboyz play Mathare United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Homeboyz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mathare United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Homeboyz scores 1.38 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Mathare United scores 0.89 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Homeboyz 52%, Mathare United 36%. Over 2.5: Homeboyz 38%, Mathare United 29%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Homeboyz has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.46. Homeboyz: 10.3 shots per match, Mathare United: 11.6.
Match halves
Homeboyz: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.24. Mathare United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
Homeboyz: 0-15 (30 goals). Mathare United: 0-15 (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back a Homeboyz win because their home goal average is 1.77 versus just 0.62 scored by Mathare United away. Homeboyz register 5.08 shots on target and 10.23 attempts per home match with a 17% conversion rate, while Mathare manage only 2.62 shots on target and a 6% conversion, which translates into more high-quality chances for the hosts. The visitors, however, show a solid away defence – conceding only 0.77 goals per away game and keeping 38% clean sheets, whereas the hosts concede 1.23 at home and have 15% clean sheets, which increases the draw probability. In form over the last 5 matches Homeboyz average 2 points (scoring 8 and conceding 3), Mathare 1 point (7 scored, 6 conceded), and the superiority in chance quality is confirmed by xG: 1.62 for Homeboyz at home versus 1.29 xG for Mathare away. Considering finishing efficiency (1.77 vs 0.62 goals), shots on target (5.08 vs 2.62) and the lower probability of the hosts being shut out (8% vs 38%), I assess the probabilities as: Home 58%, Draw 27%, Away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Homeboyz | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mathare United is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.6 pts / match - Mathare United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.89 goals / match - Mathare United
Mathare United is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.96 goals / match - Mathare United
Homeboyz scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
Mathare United scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Homeboyz
Over / Under — Mathare United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.04 pts / match - Mathare United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (30 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (22). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (19 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Homeboyz
Mathare United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Homeboyz | Liga | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.01 | ▼ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 36% | • 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 24% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Homeboyz 0 - 0 - 1 Mathare United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Homeboyz 3:0 Mathare United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
Homeboyz score 1.38 goals per game on average and Mathare United 0.89. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Homeboyz's matches and 36% of Mathare United's.
What form are Homeboyz and Mathare United in?
Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mathare United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs Mathare United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Homeboyz vs Mathare United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.