Homeboyz vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Homeboyz played Police in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 22 December 2025. Final score: 2:2.

Current form

Homeboyz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Police: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Homeboyz scores 1.21 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Police scores 0.71 and concedes 0.64. League average: 1.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Homeboyz 50%, Police 21%. Over 2.5: Homeboyz 29%, Police 14%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Police has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.45. Homeboyz: 9.1 shots per match, Police: 12.3.

Match halves

Homeboyz: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.43. Police: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Homeboyz: 0-15 (8 goals). Police: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
HomeboyzPolice
11Shots9
HomeboyzPolice
6Shots on target3
HomeboyzPolice
1.79xG1.3
HomeboyzPolice
4Corners5
HomeboyzPolice
92Dangerous attacks70
HomeboyzPolice
-1Fouls-1
HomeboyzPolice
-1Cards-1
HomeboyzPolice

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match0.71
HomeboyzPolice
0.93Goals conceded / match0.64
HomeboyzPolice
50%Average possession52%
HomeboyzPolice
4.14Shots on target / match3.93
HomeboyzPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.07Shots per match12.29
HomeboyzPolice
4.14Shots on target3.93
HomeboyzPolice
13.4%Shot conversion5.8%
HomeboyzPolice
50%Possession52%
HomeboyzPolice
1.45xG for1.59
HomeboyzPolice
1.15xG against1.39
HomeboyzPolice

Shooting quality

Homeboyz: Efficient finishingPolice: Balanced
HomeboyzPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)46%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.18

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Homeboyz is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.4 pts / match - Police

Homeboyz
WDWDL
Season result split
43% W36% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-3
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Police
WLWDL
Season result split
43% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-4
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Homeboyz is 70% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.71 goals / match - Police

Police is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.93 goals / match - Homeboyz · 0.64 goals / match - Police

Homeboyz scoring profile: mixed

Homeboyz scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 50% (7 of 14 matches).

Police scoring profile: mixed

Police scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

17Goals scored (season)10
HomeboyzPolice
13Goals conceded (season)9
HomeboyzPolice
2.14Average goals in match1.36
HomeboyzPolice
6Goals scored (last 5)2
HomeboyzPolice
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
HomeboyzPolice

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal50%
HomeboyzPolice
36%2 goals14%
HomeboyzPolice
14%3 goals7%
HomeboyzPolice
0%4 goals0%
HomeboyzPolice

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal50%
HomeboyzPolice
21%2 goals14%
HomeboyzPolice
0%3 goals0%
HomeboyzPolice
0%4 goals0%
HomeboyzPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
HomeboyzPolice
0%BTTS in both halves0%
HomeboyzPolice
21%Scored in both halves0%
HomeboyzPolice

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS14%
HomeboyzPolice
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
HomeboyzPolice
40%BTTS - last 50%
HomeboyzPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time14%
HomeboyzPolice
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
HomeboyzPolice
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
HomeboyzPolice

2nd half

43%Min. 1 goal after half-time7%
HomeboyzPolice
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
HomeboyzPolice
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
HomeboyzPolice

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Homeboyz is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Homeboyz · 1.07 pts / match - Police

Homeboyz - half-time state
21% leading71% draw7% trailing
Police - half-time state
7% leading86% draw7% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.07
HomeboyzPolice
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.14
HomeboyzPolice
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
HomeboyzPolice
0.64Average goals (1st half)0.29
HomeboyzPolice
79%Clean sheet before half-time93%
HomeboyzPolice
64%No goal before half-time93%
HomeboyzPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)0.93
HomeboyzPolice
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0
HomeboyzPolice
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.07
HomeboyzPolice
0.79Average goals (2nd half)0.07
HomeboyzPolice
71%Clean sheet after half-time93%
HomeboyzPolice
71%No goal after half-time100%
HomeboyzPolice

Homeboyz - second-half results

21% W64% R14% P
19
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding205%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police - second-half results

0% W93% R7% P
15
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding614%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Homeboyz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Homeboyz
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Police
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Homeboyz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 47% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.88
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
71%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 90% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

HomeboyzLigaPolice
Average goals in match 2.141.90 1.36
Both teams scored 50%39% 21%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%30% 14%
Clean sheets 29%39% 50%
Goal before half-time 43%35% 14%
Goal after half-time 43%37% 7%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.90
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.90
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
35%
1 goal
14%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
37%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Homeboyz vs Police?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Homeboyz 2:2 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Homeboyz vs Police?

Homeboyz score 1.21 goals per game on average and Police 0.71. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Homeboyz's matches and 21% of Police's.

What form are Homeboyz and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Homeboyz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Police 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Homeboyz vs Police?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Homeboyz vs Police: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.