Honvéd vs Zalaegerszegi TE: match statistics

Honvéd remain winless in four league matches, but are still unbeaten at home, recording one draw and one defeat while averaging 2 goals per game. Zalaegerszegi TE have lost all three away matches, failing to score in any of them and conceding as many as 3.67 goals per game. The hosts also create better-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.47 compared with the visitors’ 1.16, while registering 5.5 shots on target per match versus their opponents’ 3.33. Honvéd’s defence is also inconsistent, having kept no clean sheets and conceding an average of 2.5 goals at home, which makes a draw a realistic outcome. Despite both teams’ poor form, home advantage and Zalaegerszegi’s very weak away finishing point towards a Honvéd victory.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Zalaegerszegi’s away form: the team averages 0.0 goals scored on the road, has failed to score in 100% of such matches, and its season BTTS rate stands at 0%. Honvéd should have good conditions to find the net, as Zalaegerszegi concedes an average of 3.67 goals away from home, with 1.63 xG against, while the hosts average 6.0 shots on target per match. However, the risk to the BTTS - No pick is increased by Honvéd’s recent results, with the team conceding an average of 2.4 goals across its last five matches and BTTS landing in 100% of them. Although Zalaegerszegi has recently created chances worth an average of 1.25 xG, only 20% of its last five matches featured goals from both teams, making the scenario in which at least one team fails to score more likely.

Honvéd should create plenty of chances, as their average xG stands at 1.40, while Zalaegerszeg allows an average of 1.63 xG defensively and concedes as many as 3.67 goals per match. In their last five games, the hosts conceded 2.4 goals per match and the visitors 2.8, which clearly raises the baseline scoring potential of this fixture. Both teams had at least three goals in 80% of their last five matches, while the league average is a high 3.25 goals. Zalaegerszeg have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, and Honvéd average 6.0 shots on target, making a goal for the home side particularly likely. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 2.85 goals provides a clear margin above this line, even if the visitors are less clinical.

Honvéd have a clear edge in the home statistics: they score an average of 2.5 goals per match, while Zalaegerszeg have yet to score away from home and concede as many as 3.67 goals per game on the road. The hosts led at the break in 50% of their home fixtures, whereas the visitors were trailing at half-time in all three away matches, failing to score in any of them. Honvéd are also favoured by their recent first-half form: in their last five matches, they were ahead at half-time on 40% of occasions, while their opponents were behind in 80%. After the interval, Zalaegerszeg continue to look vulnerable away from home, averaging no goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the hosts to lead at the break and secure the win at full-time.